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brenthutch

Global warming traps scientists in ice

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Apparently it's all about personal responsibility:

"I wouldn’t say [climate change] doesn’t require action. I think personal responsibility, if I could legislate personal responsibility, you wouldn’t have to worry about climate change." Rep. DENNIS ROSS, R, Florida

Moron!
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The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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"Supporters of the CO2 driven theory of anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) are in full panic mode. The continued hiatus in global temperature increase has led to a flurry of statements denying “the pause,” as climate scientists have named it. This new denialism even extends to international organizations like the WHO, that just recently claimed that global warming had not ceased, even though numerous organizations—including Britain’s Meteorological Office, NASA, and the IPCC—have admitted that it has. Among climate change true believers there is a scramble on to “find the missing heat” that would explain the pause. Strangely, among these practitioners of group think there is no consensus about the cause of the pause. At the same time, the IPCC is about to release its latest screed regarding climate change and the leaks have been flowing fast and furious, saying there is dissent in the land of consensus. This may well be the turning of the tide on the greatest scientific hoax in history."

http://theresilientearth.com/?q=content/turning-tide

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Wishful thinking from a denier site.

When the National Academy of Sciences and the AAAS send out panicky emails the deniers will have a point. Until then, just the usual garbage.
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The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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>This may well be the turning of the tide on the greatest scientific hoax in history.

It would be fun to watch a denier tell these people they are imagining things:

====================
Climate change shifts the earth in Alaska
Melting permafrost is destroying buildings in far north Alaska, worrying residents and scientists.
Daniel Lak
27 Mar 2014 14:55

Fairbanks, Alaska - What geologists call permafrost was once defined as permanently frozen ground, covering nearly a quarter of the earth's land area.

But the changing northern climate has forced a redefinition. Permafrost is now "perennially frozen ground" says scientist Vladimir Romanovsky of the University of Alaska Fairbanks' Geophysical Institute.

"It's warming up," says Romanovsky, "even the deepest permafrost is several degrees warmer than it was 30 years ago".

Permafrost is found across the top of the Northern Hemisphere, especially in Alaska, Arctic Canada and Siberia in Russia. Originally from Moscow, Romanovsky has travelled over much of those regions, measuring temperatures and observing the effects of melting permafrost.

"Some of this [permafrost] is almost two million years old. Most of it is 100,000 years or less," he says, "and it's thawing, generations of ice frozen into the ground".

Flipping through a PowerPoint presentation he gives to his students and fellow scientists alike, Romanovsky shows photographs that demonstrate why melting permafrost matters.

He shows photographs of buildings that have collapsed in Siberia, and Alaskan roads and villages with sagging houses and roads ripped apart when the ice melted beneath their foundations.

Without hesitation, he blames climate change.

"Anything that happens to the climate, it's reflected in the permafrost," he says. "Warmer temperatures, less permafrost, it's simple."

. . .

For Jack Hebert of the Cold Climate Housing Research Center, the answer lies in both the past and the present.

"People in rural Alaska lived successfully and sustainably for up to 12,000 years," he says. "In less than a century that has all changed.

"To help those communities, we listen to them and we emphasise indigenous wisdom and 21st century technology."

It all starts with the foundation, he added - and with knowing how stable local permafrost may be.

Houses can be set on stilts so their warmth doesn't speed melting. Or a so-called "thermal raft" can be built, essentially a solid platform that insulates the ground from the dwelling. In some areas, homes will be placed on skids so they can be moved to higher, safer ground if drastic reductions in permafrost take place.

"Shelter is life or death here," Hebert says. "It has to protect us, but not isolate us from the environment or community. That's what we're trying to do."

Even as the climate warms, the very ground beneath their feet is changing.
=======================

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Anthropogenic causes are responsible for loss of permafrost. For example, build a structure like a road on permafrost, and the heat from the road melts the permafrost. Then the road buckles because of the loss of stability.

Building a house on permafrost is like building a house on a sandbar. The house itself can cause scour via the movement of water and weight of the house itself. No, it's not climate change that caused the house to fail. Put the house on something the house will destroy, and that provides a pretty simple explanation.

Yes - a collapsed road on permafrost is to be expected. Might as well put an egg in boiling water and then complain that it's cooked.

So if you want to thaw permafrost, here's what you do:
(1) Clear the vegetation and organic matter growing over it. This takes away insulation from the warmth of the air and is how permafrost has been maintained. Sunlight is bad for permafrost, which is why you find most permafrost where you find most temperate glaciers: on the northern slopes where sunlight is least.
(2) Don't put stuff on in. Because that stuff conducts heat.


Thing is that you know this, Bill.

[Quote]sagging houses and roads ripped apart when the ice melted beneath their foundations.

The next sentence:
Quote

Without hesitation, he blames climate change.



Without question, I blame the foundations. Without question, a geologist, architect, or engineer would blame the foundation. A climate scientist desiring to prey on the ignorance of the population would blame climate change. The willful ignorance of generations of knowledge must be ignored.

"Hey, our houses collapse when we lay foundations here."
"Then don't lay foundations here."

Why are you putting shit like this out there, Bill? You're way too knowledgeable for that.


My wife is hotter than your wife.

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How has your global warming winter worked out for you?

FYI, historically, a warmer climate is good for humanity and a colder climate is bad. Mid evil warming period = good, little ice age = bad.

Please provide an example of when a warmer global climate was deleterious.

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>FYI, historically, a warmer climate is good for humanity and a colder climate is
>bad. Mid evil warming period = good, little ice age = bad.

Congratulations on your progress! You started out as a Type I denier and have progressed to a Type III, which to me is much closer to a reasonable position on the issue. Let's see if you can maintain this position. (A large number of deniers just take whatever position FOX News has that day, rather than actually take and hold a thoughtful position on the matter.)

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brenthutch

How has your global warming winter worked out for you?



No records broken, for temperature or snow. Another 10" of snow and we'd have a record.

Funny how warming of the Arctic causes the polar vortex to destabilize and wobble around. Climate change is such a bitch.

If we have record cold/snow for three years, then maybe a comparison with California's drought will be valid.
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The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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kallend


How's that three-year drought working out for you? You know, the worst one since records began.


Just "weather", different next week?



The half inch of rain we got yesterday was but a drop in a bucket that needs some filling. It's odd how drought is considered a natural thing. That's why we built dams - to store the water we had to use it later. We don't do that, anymore. Instead we discharge it down the rivers and then it is neither available for farmers, municipal use or even the fish, anymore. According to testimony, that was done last year because they "did not anticipate a drought" this year. (Again - reservoirs store water for later use because the next year might not be wet). Now that food prices will be going up, we can pretty easily confirm that people might take some notice that they otherwise would not have.

But, I reckon that if the climate scientists continue predicting a strong El Nino (as they have every year since 2004 or so) that eventually an El Nino will happen and we'll get some good rainfall.

See, global warming is supposed to mean we get more rain out here. We're seeing the opposite. Notice how climate scientists have spent the last few years hoping for an El Nino?

How's that coldest winter in the last century working for you out there? (AGW theory is that winters will be warmer, because that's where the signal is best found over the noise). And those shippping lanes in the Great Lakes that are apparently less swimmable than they've ever been.

Point? Weather is chaotic. Some of the chaos we're seeing we were told for years that we wouldn't be seeing. It has been great having a winter without icing conditions and the lives not lost by the lack of fog has been a nice benefit.

So focus is on "extreme" weather now. The 50% more Arctic ice? Extreme.

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[Reply]Funny how warming of the Arctic causes the polar vortex to destabilize and wobble around. Climate change is such a bitch.



Funny how alarmists piss in the wind with science. Sure, we've seen polar vortices since we started keeping records in North America. And of course, we need decades of observations from satellites and radiosondes and the like to remove the noise (natural variability) from the signal.

But science be damned. There's a point to make. And if it takes anti-science rhetoric to do it, then it must be done!!!!


My wife is hotter than your wife.

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lawrocket


Funny how alarmists piss in the wind with science. Sure, we've seen polar vortices since we started keeping records in North America. And of course, we need decades of observations from satellites and radiosondes and the like to remove the noise (natural variability) from the signal.

But science be damned. There's a point to make. And if it takes anti-science rhetoric to do it, then it must be done!!!!



Well, I don't remember ever having a "Polar Vortex" before.

I do remember having "Strong Arctic High Pressure" systems before. And having "Cold Snaps" that resulted in a few days without seeing a temp above zero. It happens most, but not all winters in Wisconsin.

And the really funny one was how we had the "Coldest Temperatures In TWENTY Years" this winter.

Yeah, it hit 22 below. But it hit 19 below last year, 20 below the year before and 18 below the year before that.

We (Green Bay where the TV new comes from for me) set a few "coldest" records this year. Most days with a temp below zero, coldest average temp and a few others like that. But the old record wasn't "smashed" it was just broken by a few days or degrees or whatever.
"There are NO situations which do not call for a French Maid outfit." Lucky McSwervy

"~ya don't GET old by being weak & stupid!" - Airtwardo

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lawrocket

[Reply]Funny how warming of the Arctic causes the polar vortex to destabilize and wobble around. Climate change is such a bitch.



Funny how alarmists piss in the wind with science. Sure, we've seen polar vortices since we started keeping records in North America. And of course, we need decades of observations from satellites and radiosondes and the like to remove the noise (natural variability) from the signal.

But science be damned. There's a point to make. And if it takes anti-science rhetoric to do it, then it must be done!!!!



To our point

Quote

One of the authors of a draft United Nations report aimed at helping governments reach an international climate agreement has pulled out of the writing team, claiming his colleagues were being too "alarmist" about the threat of climate change, Reuters reported.

Richard Tol, a professor of economics at Sussex University in England, said he disagreed with some findings of the summary to be released later this month in Japan, where scientists from 100 countries are currently meeting to edit and approve the report.

"The drafts became too alarmist," Tol told Reuters, acknowledging that some other authors "strongly disagree with me."

The draft says economic growth and poverty reduction will slow down and global food prices will rise between 3 and 84 percent by 2050 because of warmer temperatures and changes in rain patterns, according to documents obtained by The Associated Press.


"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

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rushmc



To our point

Quote

One of the authors of a draft United Nations report aimed at helping governments reach an international climate agreement has pulled out of the writing team, claiming his colleagues were being too "alarmist" about the threat of climate change, Reuters reported.



So you agree that being alarmist is OK, just so long as you're not "too alarmist".

Progress.

I'm not alarmist at all. I believe AGW is proven fact (along with 98% of climate scientists, the National Academy of Sciences, AAAS, and other highly credible sources), but the planet will survive just fine.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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The last time the U.S. had an October to March this cold:
Germany, Austria, Russia and China all had emperors;
Few thought the sun would ever set on the British Empire;
The President of the U.S. was William Howard Taft;
The U.S. income tax was still a year away;
No one would have dared suggest we use taxation to control the weather; and
The 20th century horrors of Communism and Fascism still lay ahead.

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Good point. Let us take a look at the whole planet.
From NOAA:

The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for February 2014 tied with 2001 as the 21st highest for February on record, at 0.41°C (0.74°F) above the 20th century average of 12.1°C (53.9°F).

Current global temperatures are not even in the top 20?!?!?

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Well: If you don't cherry pick your months as much... NOAA also says

"The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for December–February was the eighth highest on record for this period, at 1.03°F (0.57°C) above the 20th century average of 53.8°F (12.1°C). "
Owned by Remi #?

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Quote

Glaciers and snowpack in high-elevation temperate zones are melting.

The Greenland ice pack is melting.



This means that we are in an interglacial period. Either you are in an ice age, entering an ice age or coming out of an ice age. We have been in the latter for several thousand years.

And note: the Greenland ice sheet is in stasis. Yes, a very large amount of ice melts there in summer. That's because it's summer, where temperatures thoughout most of Greenland rise above the freezing point.

Take a look at Greenland's summit station. http://www.summitcamp.org/status/webcam/

Or a nice coastal view of Tasiilaq: http://www.wunderground.com/webcams/carlskou/1/show.html

I think we can safely project that the vast majority of that snow will be gone in August. It's kind of what "summer" tends to do.

Quote

The Arctic melted enough that the Canadian government had to establish stations to watch ships that attempt a new Northwest Passage.



Right. Because there is the reasonable expectation that a large number of dumbasses will get stuck in ice that they heard wasn't there. See the title of this thread.

Quote

It took from the Stone Age to the year 1800 for the Earth to reach one billion people. Now we're doing a billion about every fourteen years or so. This type of growth cannot continue unchecked, and will lead to war over the remaining resources, as well as misery and death



Um - we're always at war. We're always in misery and death. And where is it that resources are greatest? In this places that use lots of fossil fuels. Look at the US - eliminate fossil fuels, and crops fail. Those crops we have cannot be harvested. Those crops we harvest can't be transported. Those crops we transport cannot be converted or preserved. And there is death and misery.

Where was the real misery after Sandy hit? If you said, "Places without gas, heating oil or electricity" then you would be correct.

Want to see what people need after a natural disaster? https://pbs.twimg.com/media/A6jJ99fCQAAXSek.jpg

Full story: http://twitchy.com/2012/10/31/pics-nj-gas-lines-stretch-for-miles-residents-use-twitter-to-find-open-stations/

These pictures show something that is pretty fundamental in today's world: "Lack of fossil fuels causes human suffering." Now, unless we further develop alternatives to make them viable, this could be the future because the resource we'll be fighting over will be fossil fuels.


My wife is hotter than your wife.

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billvon


Never is a LONG time . . .

I'm pretty sure that about 400 years ago, it was much hotter in OZ.

But only in the fall.
I'm not usually into the whole 3-way thing, but you got me a little excited with that. - Skymama
BTR #1 / OTB^5 Official #2 / Hellfish #408 / VSCR #108/Tortuga/Orfun

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labrys

Well: If you don't cherry pick your months as much... NOAA also says

"The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for December–February was the eighth highest on record for this period, at 1.03°F (0.57°C) above the 20th century average of 53.8°F (12.1°C). "



Ok I agree with you. Despite unprecedented levels of CO2, global temperatures remain flat during the 21st century. No global warming, just global warmer.

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From NOAA
"The average temperature for the contiguous U.S. during March was 40.5°F, 1.0°F below the 20th century average. This was the 43rd coldest March on record, and the coldest since 2002.
Below-average temperatures dominated the eastern half of the contiguous U.S. during March. The largest departures from average occurred across the Great Lakes and Northeast, where nine states had temperatures that ranked among their 10 coldest on record. The persistent cold resulted in nearly two-thirds of the Great Lakes remaining frozen into early April.
Vermont had its coldest March on record, with a statewide temperature of 18.3°F, 8.9°F below average. The previous coldest March in Vermont occurred in 1916 when the monthly average temperature was 18.6°F.
Maine and New Hampshire each had their second coldest March on record, while Michigan and New York had their fifth coldest. Massachusetts and Wisconsin had their eighth coldest March, Connecticut its ninth coldest, and Pennsylvania its 10th coldest."

Record cold caused by record warming. [:/]

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brenthutch

From NOAA
"The average temperature for the contiguous U.S. during March was 40.5°F, 1.0°F below the 20th century average. This was the 43rd coldest March on record, and the coldest since 2002.
Below-average temperatures dominated the eastern half of the contiguous U.S. during March. The largest departures from average occurred across the Great Lakes and Northeast, where nine states had temperatures that ranked among their 10 coldest on record. The persistent cold resulted in nearly two-thirds of the Great Lakes remaining frozen into early April.
Vermont had its coldest March on record, with a statewide temperature of 18.3°F, 8.9°F below average. The previous coldest March in Vermont occurred in 1916 when the monthly average temperature was 18.6°F.
Maine and New Hampshire each had their second coldest March on record, while Michigan and New York had their fifth coldest. Massachusetts and Wisconsin had their eighth coldest March, Connecticut its ninth coldest, and Pennsylvania its 10th coldest."

Record cold caused by record warming. [:/]



As usual, brenthutch confuses the contiguous USA with the world and one month's weather with climate.
...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

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