olofscience

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Everything posted by olofscience

  1. Calm down, tiger. Brent hasn't been making any claims of fraud, he hasn't been the one filing baseless lawsuits. The Trump camp did, and whatever you say to brent won't change their behaviour or cancel those lawsuits. No, people believe that baseless shit because they want to, not because the Trump camp filed lawsuits. My point is those lawsuits have been filed anyway, we can't do anything about that. What we CAN'T do is disrespect due process just because we don't like the other side.
  2. But didn't Trump stack the courts with conservative judges? If even they couldn't find any evidence of fraud, then that just shrinks the excuses Trump supporters have. Sure, they will continue to retreat to other excuses, but I want the island of their thinking and excuses to be as small as possible. Then maybe some of them will step out, realise they've been wrong and rejoin reality. And if not, they can stay in that little tiny island as long as they want.
  3. I actually agree with this! Going to be tedious, but sure bring them on. I don't think the Trump campaign have filed any further cases this week so far?
  4. They actually use numbers rather than "sure, super sure sure". Patience. I can't wait for it to arrive either but the numbers need to back it up.
  5. Now that Biden has won, this particular Ukrainian businessman is owning up since there probably won't be any US visa for him: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/i-was-asked-to-lie-about-hunter-biden-admits-ukrainian-businessman-853krxgtz
  6. The money supply needs to account for value being created and destroyed all the time. If you grow $5 of tomatoes on ground that there wasn't anything before, you need to increase the money supply by $5 . If someone steps on those tomatoes making them worthless, you need to decrease the money supply by $5 to keep the value of money constant. Of course the Fed doesn't micromanage to this level, but they manage it since a small amount of inflation is much better than deflation (since deflation usually causes huge disruptions such as recessions and depressions). So the dollar cost of things doesn't matter as much as the REAL value of things - and automation and electrification does indeed drop the cost of things. Electrics have a high acquisition cost right now, but their lower running cost and maintenance costs are definitely much lower.
  7. What? Biden won BOTH the electoral college and the popular vote (by almost 5 million). So yes, get rid of the EC and Trump still loses.
  8. Even Fox News has called it. It's over.
  9. https://newsthump.com/2020/11/05/far-reaching-global-conspiracy-to-rig-us-election-foiled-after-fat-man-with-assault-rifle-screams-at-county-clerk/
  10. If you give that hypothetical vaccine with 2% kidney failure rate to 5 million people, then yes you'll have to choose between 100,000 people dying from covid and 100,000 people dying of kidney failure. The US has population of 350 million. Look, everyone, myself included, is absolutely desperate for a vaccine. But it still should be done properly and corners can't be cut. Edit: and your "2% possibly vs 100,000 positively" comparison isn't how probability works - the rate is already rolled into the total probability, so 2% will positively and definitely get those consequences (that the 2% probability defined in the first place).
  11. Markharju, desiring to see violence? I did NOT see that coming, no sir. <surprised_pikachu.jpg>
  12. Well with the huge shift to online logistics must be doing well. My company is noticing higher shipping charges though, ouch. But our supply chain is also pretty intact. Lockdown is pretty much over in China where we get lots of supplies though. My contact there was pretty surprised when I had to change our receiving address because of the lockdown. China, NZ, Australia, Taiwan, I feel so envious of those countries while we're having to lock down again in England once again. But we're led by a wannabe-trump so that's what you get I guess.
  13. Stop it, you're going to ruin markharju's fantasies of offing the antifa in the riots and civil unrest that follows. I go around in very left-leaning circles, even some extreme leftist idiots, but I've never actually met an Antifa member. According to markharju and turtle they should be everywhere, no?
  14. Food won't run out. Farmers keep working during lockdowns, and food production isn't really affected. Approximately 2.3%* of the population can produce enough food for everyone. But food distribution is - people won't have money for food because of the lockdowns. We don't want farmers to give the food away (or governments to pay them to do so) because we aren't socialists or communists, right? *at least for the EU - source: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Farmers_in_the_EU_-_statistics&oldid=357551
  15. Well, I appreciate that - and no, if Trump supporters are brutally beaten, then I would support throwing the book at the perpetrators as well.
  16. And you think this is hypocritical, when there's still no hard evidence of what has been actually done? But you support a president who tweets in support of Texan trump supporters who harass an opposition campaign bus and drive dangerously, trying to stop it or run it off the road. Now those aren't just allegations - the idiot tweets it out for all to see.
  17. The investigation is into Hunter, and if they had substantial evidence against Joe then they should at least have opened an investigation into Joe, and they would have announced it like they did Hillary last time. Yeah sure, go ahead and wait for the paperwork and be sure to hold your breath, I'm sure it will come soon.
  18. Clinton was 2-3% ahead in national polls, but what's the margin of sampling error? It can go to +/-3% or 4%! So the media was silly back then to be so sure of a Clinton win. Trump won several "Blue wall" states by a margin of less than 1%, so the polls weren't that far off. However people who knew statistics should have known that Clinton did NOT have victory in the bag. Now Biden is up around 10% nationally, and 4-6% in swing states. So if the worst-case error is 4%, then he could tie in those states, but any more than a 4% lead and it's very unlikely it will become a Trump win. So if you're losing sleep over this, learn how statistical errors work and it may help you sleep a bit better. I'm a big fan of Jonathan Pie, but he's pointing again to "hidden Trump voters" - which is not really supported by the data: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-supporters-arent-shy-but-polls-could-still-be-missing-some-of-them/ TL;DR: Trump can still win, but it's unlikely, so as many people as possible should VOTE and encourage others to VOTE, but also don't lose sleep, it's a fine balance but it must be struck.
  19. Again, as long as the Electoral College remains in place, effectively a FPTP system, it will always come down to a 2-party system. Simple mathematics. https://youtu.be/Nd-9op64t2M https://youtu.be/s7tWHJfhiyo
  20. fighting the covid-19 pandemic. A one-word change could have avoided all this, yes "fighting" is a strong word since he's practically given up on it, but it's still hell of a lot better than "ending".
  21. They've been investigating since 2019 and so far, no charges. If there was any evidence they should bring charges, no? They should probably do it soon. Trump should have AG Barr bring the charges ASAP, 3 days left! No? Then STFU.
  22. But Trump also has published his tax retur- oh wait.
  23. Wow, you must be really desperate for an October surprise, with 4 days left. No sources, no independent confirmation, and Hunter's not running for president. Again, needs proving and many of us are on record saying otherwise. Even Fox won't publish this crap.
  24. Nobody was saying the OSTP report claimed that ending the pandemic among the accomplishments of the administration. Everybody was talking about the press release that did. Why are you setting up strawmen?
  25. It's really weird that he describes the left as "raving leftist psychoses" who are "overemotional" when you remove the word "leftist" it pretty much describes him. It actually sounds like he's the most emotional person here.