Dude, where are my hurricanes?

[brenthutch 383]

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/hurricane-season-below-normal
 

Didn’t Al Gore say hurricanes were to be more frequent?

BTW, NPR breathlessly reported that this is the seventh year in a row that NOAA has predicted an above average hurricane season.  

Since they can’t report on the reality, they report on the guesses.

Edited August 15, 2022 by brenthutch

[JoeWeber 2,299]

7 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/hurricane-season-below-normal
 

Didn’t Al Gore say hurricanes were to be more frequent?

BTW, NPR breathlessly reported that this is the seventh year in a row that NOAA has predicted an above average hurricane season.  

Since they can’t report on the reality, they report on the guesses.

You’re back! I was thinking Colonel Klink has tossed you back in the cooler.

While it’s never too early to troll it is still a little early for hurricanes. But did you notice that early named storm that went through the ABC’s? 

[brenthutch 383]

7 minutes ago, JoeWeber said:

You’re back! I was thinking Colonel Klink has tossed you back in the cooler.

While it’s never too early to troll it is still a little early for hurricanes. But did you notice that early named storm that went through the ABC’s? 

I really don’t get why folks call it trolling when I just share actual facts.  Temperatures flatlining, coal use increasing, energy costs skyrocketing in countries and states pushing green energy, Green New Deal boondoggles, CO2 levels continuing to rise, lack of unprecedented natural disasters… all documented and referenced.  I didn’t realize sharing inconvenient facts was tantamount trolling but now I am starting to figure that out. (Having been banned for describing the characteristics of an AR-15)

[JoeWeber 2,299]

1 minute ago, brenthutch said:

I really don’t get why folks call it trolling when I just share actual facts.  Temperatures flatlining, coal use increasing, energy costs skyrocketing in countries and states pushing green energy, Green New Deal boondoggles, CO2 levels continuing to rise, lack of unprecedented natural disasters… all documented and referenced.  I didn’t realize sharing inconvenient facts was tantamount trolling but now I am starting to figure that out. (Having been banned for describing the characteristics of an AR-15)

We've heard it all, and then some. Cover some new ground. It's fun.

[brenthutch 383]

8 minutes ago, JoeWeber said:

We've heard it all, and then some. Cover some new ground. It's fun.

Systematic racism, gender pay gap, the scourge of white supremacy, income inequality, pregnant men, the multiverse of genders, the joys of socialism?  What imaginary boogie man should I go on to disabuse?

Edited August 15, 2022 by brenthutch

[JoeWeber 2,299]

50 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

Systematic racism, gender pay gap, the scourge of white supremacy, income inequality, pregnant men, the multiverse of genders, the joys of socialism?  What imaginary boogie man should I go on to disabuse?

Something new? You're already world famous in denier and contrarian circles, maybe look for something that shows a bit of commonality with your fellow man to show you aren't a troll but just a big teddy bear.

[SkyDekker 1,122]

19 hours ago, brenthutch said:

I really don’t get why folks call it trolling when I just share actual facts.  Temperatures flatlining, coal use increasing, energy costs skyrocketing in countries and states pushing green energy,

Gas prices in Saudi Arabia are up 325% compared to May 2020

Gas prices in the US are up 238% compared to May 2020

Saudi Arabia is specifically known for their big push towards green energy.

[brenthutch 383]

“for the first time in seven years, no hurricane has formed in the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, or the Gulf of Mexico by Aug. 15”

September will have to be very busy for the predictions of an above average hurricane season to manifest.

[billvon 2,400]

On 8/15/2022 at 12:44 PM, SkyDekker said:

Gas prices in Saudi Arabia are up 325% compared to May 2020

THANKS BIDEN!

 

[brenthutch 383]

Meanwhile in the Atlantic….

Edited August 21, 2022 by brenthutch

[SkyDekker 1,122]

Meanwhile in China:

https://twitter.com/ScottDuncanWX/status/1561040349535113217?s=20&t=vASq6pQMTzRGaBqiB3w4ig

[brenthutch 383]

1 hour ago, SkyDekker said:

Meanwhile in China:

https://twitter.com/ScottDuncanWX/status/1561040349535113217?s=20&t=vASq6pQMTzRGaBqiB3w4ig

It’s from the sheer heat generated by thousands of coal fired power plants.

[brenthutch 383]

More

https://www.cnsnews.com/blog/craig-bannister/slowest-start-hurricane-season-30-years-none-prompts-noaa-slightly-brighten

[brenthutch 383]

For only the third time on record, there were NO tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin in the month of August.

Didn’t the ‘experts’ tell us that we would have more hurricanes?

[jakee 1,255]

Every calendar month, every year? No, I really don't think they did.

[JoeWeber 2,299]

4 hours ago, brenthutch said:

For only the third time on record, there were NO tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin in the month of August.

Didn’t the ‘experts’ tell us that we would have more hurricanes?

Patience grasshopper.

[olofscience 421]

25 minutes ago, jakee said:

Every calendar month, every year? No, I really don't think they did.

Brent doesn't understand what a 'probability distribution' is.

[brenthutch 383]

9 minutes ago, JoeWeber said:

Patience grasshopper.

 

8 minutes ago, olofscience said:

Brent doesn't understand what a 'probability distribution' is.

Congratulations, you learned to capitalize a proper noun, now learn about how hurricanes are measured.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accumulated_cyclone_energy
 

[jakee 1,255]

27 minutes ago, olofscience said:

Brent doesn't understand what a 'probability distribution' is.

Meanwhile, Europe’s wildfire season is unprecedented to the degree that it has burned half again as much as the previous record. Farm fires and wildfires in England have stretched the emergency services to breaking point. Seriously, England - famous for wonky teeth and rain in July.

If the hurricane season is cast iron evidence of something then surely this is as well, right?

[brenthutch 383]

54 minutes ago, jakee said:

Meanwhile, Europe’s wildfire season is unprecedented to the degree that it has burned half again as much as the previous record. Farm fires and wildfires in England have stretched the emergency services to breaking point. Seriously, England - famous for wonky teeth and rain in July.

 

“Europe covers about 10.18 million km2 (3.93 million sq mi), or 2% of Earth's surface”

Looks like local weather to me.

[jakee 1,255]

Because on the other hand, the Atlantic covers the whole world.

[brenthutch 383]

1 minute ago, jakee said:

Because on the other hand, the Atlantic covers the whole world.

Eastern North Pacific (East of 140°W)
Tropical Weather Outlook  1100 AM PDT Thu Sep 1 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion 1605 UTC Thu Sep 1 2022
There are no tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific at this time.

 

Central North Pacific (140°W to 180°)
Tropical Weather Outlook  800 AM HST Thu Sep 1 2022
There are no tropical cyclones in the Central North Pacific at this time.

 

[jakee 1,255]

So just Europe for the whole year is weather but the Pacific for just today is climate?

[brenthutch 383]

1 hour ago, jakee said:

So just Europe for the whole year is weather but the Pacific for just today is climate?

Read up on the ACE metric. It takes into account the global number, strength and duration of tropical cyclones and has been trending down not up (as predicted by the ‘experts’)

[olofscience 421]

4 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

Read up on the ACE metric. It takes into account the global number, strength and duration

You've shown that you can't even do simple addition, or averages. I don't think you'll be able to do discrete integrals either. Call it a hunch.