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billvon 2,475
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>I guess we have with Gallup polls showing Obama only ahead by 1 among
>registered voters and Rasmussan showing Romney ahead by 2 among likely voters.
In the past four elections Rasmussen has shown a 3-4 point GOP bias. So a lead of 2 points for Romney by Rasmussen is good news for Obama.
Per RealClearPolitics the current electoral map is 237 Obama, 191 Romney.
>registered voters and Rasmussan showing Romney ahead by 2 among likely voters.
In the past four elections Rasmussen has shown a 3-4 point GOP bias. So a lead of 2 points for Romney by Rasmussen is good news for Obama.
Per RealClearPolitics the current electoral map is 237 Obama, 191 Romney.
Quote>I guess we have with Gallup polls showing Obama only ahead by 1 among
>registered voters and Rasmussan showing Romney ahead by 2 among likely voters.
In the past four elections Rasmussen has shown a 3-4 point GOP bias. So a lead of 2 points for Romney by Rasmussen is good news for Obama.
Per RealClearPolitics the current electoral map is 237 Obama, 191 Romney.
You walked right in to that Bill.... I knew you would say that and you are dead wrong!
http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/poll%20accuracy%20in%20the%202008%20presidential%20election.pdf
Rasmussan uses likely voters and is not weighting the turnout as if it was 2008 which is probably very accurate.
Life is all about ass....either you're kicking it, kissing it, working it off, or trying to get a piece of it.
Muff Brother #4382 Dudeist Skydiver #000
www.fundraiseadventure.com
Muff Brother #4382 Dudeist Skydiver #000
www.fundraiseadventure.com
QuoteQuote>I guess we have with Gallup polls showing Obama only ahead by 1 among
>registered voters and Rasmussan showing Romney ahead by 2 among likely voters.
In the past four elections Rasmussen has shown a 3-4 point GOP bias. So a lead of 2 points for Romney by Rasmussen is good news for Obama.
Per RealClearPolitics the current electoral map is 237 Obama, 191 Romney.
You walked right in to that Bill.... I knew you would say that and you are dead wrong!
http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/poll%20accuracy%20in%20the%202008%20presidential%20election.pdf
Rasmussan uses likely voters and is not weighting the turnout as if it was 2008 which is probably very accurate.
more
http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20100107130842AAHZwRK
Rasmussen's battleground state polling this year was extremely solid and a close second to Mason-Dixon. He was dead on in PA and just missed in IA. Average error was a very good 2.3 points, with NJ and AZ the only states where he wasn't within three points of the final spread. No partisan trends either way.
from real clear politics... notice the last line!
Life is all about ass....either you're kicking it, kissing it, working it off, or trying to get a piece of it.
Muff Brother #4382 Dudeist Skydiver #000
www.fundraiseadventure.com
Muff Brother #4382 Dudeist Skydiver #000
www.fundraiseadventure.com
funjumper101 15
QuoteQuote
Right on target. Romney needs the swing voters. The 47% piglets will continue to suckle the government sow, no matter what.
He is discussing how to win the election not how to subsidize genocide.
The 47% piglets you refer to are - look in the mirror, genius. Romney is talking about YOU!!
You are suckling the government teat. Social Security and Medicare, by your own admission. So much for your right wing beliefs... you are happy to take the bennies when they come to you. You don't want the same bennies to go to other folks, especially the black and brown ones.
How much was your income tax bill for 2011?
Ignorance can be corrected. Stupidity cannot.
rushmc 18
Ignorance can be corrected. Stupidity cannot.
Yep
"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln
airdvr 200
QuoteYou are suckling the government teat. Social Security and Medicare,
That would be funny if i knew you weren't dead serious. I guess you don't notice the deductions on your paychecks that we've been paying our entire lives.
Sorry there's no cure for your affliction.QuoteIgnorance can be corrected. Stupidity cannot.
Please don't dent the planet.
Destinations by Roxanne
Destinations by Roxanne
kallend 1,679
QuoteQuoteYou are suckling the government teat. Social Security and Medicare,
That would be funny if i knew you weren't dead serious. I guess you don't notice the deductions on your paychecks that we've been paying our entire lives.
.
Which has absolutely NO influence whatever on the 47% number that Romney despises. They're all lumped in there together. Disabled vets, retirees living on meager SS checks... he despises them all.
...
The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.
The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.
rushmc 18
QuoteQuoteQuoteYou are suckling the government teat. Social Security and Medicare,
That would be funny if i knew you weren't dead serious. I guess you don't notice the deductions on your paychecks that we've been paying our entire lives.
.
Which has absolutely NO influence whatever on the 47% number that Romney despises. They're all lumped in there together. Disabled vets, retirees living on meager SS checks... he despises them all.
AND THE SPIN CONTINUES
You are starting to look desperatly silly
"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln
billvon 2,475
>Rasmussan uses likely voters and is not weighting the turnout as if it
>was 2008 which is probably very accurate.
And has been consistently wrong in the past, overstating the GOP vote by 3-4 points.
==============
November 4, 2010, 10:41 pm173 Comments
Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly
By NATE SILVER
Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters.
On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports — which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News — badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates.
Other polling firms, like SurveyUSA and Quinnipiac University, produced more reliable results in Senate and gubernatorial races. A firm that conducts surveys by Internet, YouGov, also performed relatively well.
===============
Here are the latest poll results. Notice anything about Rasmussen?
Rasmussen 9/15 - 9/17 Romney +2
Ipsos/Reuters 9/12 - 9/17 Obama +5
Gallup 9/11 - 9/17 Obama +1
Monmouth 9/13 - 9/16 Obama +3
SEIU/PPP 9/13 - 9/16 Obama +4
Rasmussen 9/12 - 9/14 Romney +2
UPI/CVOTER 9/8 - 9/14 Obama +4
JZ Analytics 9/11 - 9/12 Obama +6
CBS/Times 9/8 - 9/12 Obama +3
Democracy Corps 9/8 - 9/12 Obama +5
>was 2008 which is probably very accurate.
And has been consistently wrong in the past, overstating the GOP vote by 3-4 points.
==============
November 4, 2010, 10:41 pm173 Comments
Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly
By NATE SILVER
Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters.
On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports — which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News — badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates.
Other polling firms, like SurveyUSA and Quinnipiac University, produced more reliable results in Senate and gubernatorial races. A firm that conducts surveys by Internet, YouGov, also performed relatively well.
===============
Here are the latest poll results. Notice anything about Rasmussen?
Rasmussen 9/15 - 9/17 Romney +2
Ipsos/Reuters 9/12 - 9/17 Obama +5
Gallup 9/11 - 9/17 Obama +1
Monmouth 9/13 - 9/16 Obama +3
SEIU/PPP 9/13 - 9/16 Obama +4
Rasmussen 9/12 - 9/14 Romney +2
UPI/CVOTER 9/8 - 9/14 Obama +4
JZ Analytics 9/11 - 9/12 Obama +6
CBS/Times 9/8 - 9/12 Obama +3
Democracy Corps 9/8 - 9/12 Obama +5
rushmc 18
Quote>Rasmussan uses likely voters and is not weighting the turnout as if it
>was 2008 which is probably very accurate.
And has been consistently wrong in the past, overstating the GOP vote by 3-4 points.
==============
November 4, 2010, 10:41 pm173 Comments
Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate; Quinnipiac, SurveyUSA Performed Strongly
By NATE SILVER
Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters.
On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports — which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News — badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates.
Other polling firms, like SurveyUSA and Quinnipiac University, produced more reliable results in Senate and gubernatorial races. A firm that conducts surveys by Internet, YouGov, also performed relatively well.
===============
Here are the latest poll results. Notice anything about Rasmussen?
Rasmussen 9/15 - 9/17 Romney +2
Ipsos/Reuters 9/12 - 9/17 Obama +5
Gallup 9/11 - 9/17 Obama +1
Monmouth 9/13 - 9/16 Obama +3
SEIU/PPP 9/13 - 9/16 Obama +4
Rasmussen 9/12 - 9/14 Romney +2
UPI/CVOTER 9/8 - 9/14 Obama +4
JZ Analytics 9/11 - 9/12 Obama +6
CBS/Times 9/8 - 9/12 Obama +3
Democracy Corps 9/8 - 9/12 Obama +5
You post what Nate Silver says
How about this?
QuoteThe Pew Research Center and Rasmussen Reports were the most accurate in predicting the results of the 2008 election, according to a new analysis by Fordham University political scientist Costas Panagopoulos.
On average, the polls slightly overestimated Obama’s strength. The final polls showed the Democratic ahead by an average of 7.52 percentage points — 1.37 percentage points above his current 6.15-point popular vote lead. Seventeen of the 23 surveys overstated Obama’s final victory level, while four underestimated it. Only two — Rasmussen and Pew — were spot on.
"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln
RonD1120 58
QuoteHave you renounced that social security and medicare yet, Ron?QuoteThe 47% piglets will continue to suckle the government sow, no matter what.
Don
No, I paid for those through payroll deductions.
Look for the shiny things of God revealed by the Holy Spirit. They only last for an instant but it is a Holy Instant. Let your soul absorb them.
I guess we have with Gallup polls showing Obama only ahead by 1 among registered voters and Rasmussan showing Romney ahead by 2 among likely voters. There are also states that are up for grabs that Obama never thought he would have to spend any real money on... clearly it's too bad for Romney.
Muff Brother #4382 Dudeist Skydiver #000
www.fundraiseadventure.com
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