"Forecasting Climate Change Is A Very Complex Process"

[rushmc 18]

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/05/13/forecasting-climate-change-is-a-very-complex-process/



this is worth reading

Quote

You will discover predicting long range climatic conditions have about the same chance of success as selecting next week’s six winning lottery numbers. Let’s look at weather. How about predicting the exact local rainfall next week? The dates, number, violence, and exact paths of Atlantic hurricanes for next season? Acquiring the skills and knowledge to predict such future climate and weather conditions with any degree of accuracy is still out into the future. To do so will require extremely complex data bases. Even then, random variance will hamper predictive capability. Data bases must include carefully controlled collections of geological, geophysical, meteorological, oceanographic, and biological information. Even though, the collection of data has vastly improved, the density and location of measurement sites in the oceans are still a weak link. However, the volume of data being collected by satellites is overcoming many of these weaknesses.

"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

[kallend 1,643]

"Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future." - Niels Bohr

Doesn't mean we shouldn't try.

...

The only sure way to survive a canopy collision is not to have one.

[Andy9o8 0]

kallend

"Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future." - Niels Bohr
.

"Nuclear physics ain't so new, and it ain't so clear. "

-Pogo

[rushmc 18]

kallend

"Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future." - Niels Bohr

Doesn't mean we shouldn't try.

Yet the AWG crowd is unable or unwilling to admit when they missed the mark

"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

[SkyDekker 1,138]

Not sure what the America Wire Gauge crowd is, but if you want to talk about Anthropogenic Global Warming, well, you can see the order of the letters there.

Normally I would think you made a typo, but you have been ranting and raving about American Wire Gauge long enough now to see it isn't a typo.

[rushmc 18]

SkyDekker

Not sure what the America Wire Gauge crowd is, but if you want to talk about Anthropogenic Global Warming, well, you can see the order of the letters there.

Normally I would think you made a typo, but you have been ranting and raving about American Wire Gauge long enough now to see it isn't a typo.

You just dont like it because it has the word American in it!

"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

[billvon 2,425]

>You just dont like it because it has the word American in it!

And you don't like it because you have to spell it right!

[rushmc 18]

billvon

>You just dont like it because it has the word American in it!

And you don't like it because you have to spell it right!

Could be.

But at least I stick to the topic most of the time

"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

[jclalor 12]

rushmc

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/05/13/forecasting-climate-change-is-a-very-complex-process/



this is worth reading

Quote

You will discover predicting long range climatic conditions have about the same chance of success as selecting next week’s six winning lottery numbers. Let’s look at weather. How about predicting the exact local rainfall next week? The dates, number, violence, and exact paths of Atlantic hurricanes for next season? Acquiring the skills and knowledge to predict such future climate and weather conditions with any degree of accuracy is still out into the future. To do so will require extremely complex data bases. Even then, random variance will hamper predictive capability. Data bases must include carefully controlled collections of geological, geophysical, meteorological, oceanographic, and biological information. Even though, the collection of data has vastly improved, the density and location of measurement sites in the oceans are still a weak link. However, the volume of data being collected by satellites is overcoming many of these weaknesses.

Worth reading?


When you post about the same topic, using then same source, on almost a daily basis, who's going to bother reading it?

You should go back to Alex Jones.

[rushmc 18]

jclalor

***http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/05/13/forecasting-climate-change-is-a-very-complex-process/



this is worth reading

Quote

You will discover predicting long range climatic conditions have about the same chance of success as selecting next week’s six winning lottery numbers. Let’s look at weather. How about predicting the exact local rainfall next week? The dates, number, violence, and exact paths of Atlantic hurricanes for next season? Acquiring the skills and knowledge to predict such future climate and weather conditions with any degree of accuracy is still out into the future. To do so will require extremely complex data bases. Even then, random variance will hamper predictive capability. Data bases must include carefully controlled collections of geological, geophysical, meteorological, oceanographic, and biological information. Even though, the collection of data has vastly improved, the density and location of measurement sites in the oceans are still a weak link. However, the volume of data being collected by satellites is overcoming many of these weaknesses.

Worth reading?


When you post about the same topic, using then same source, on almost a daily basis, who's going to bother reading it?

You should go back to Alex Jones.

anyone who cares about truth

I know that is not you

"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

[SkyDekker 1,138]

There is absolutely noting on whattsupwiththat.com related to AWG.

[rushmc 18]

SkyDekker

There is absolutely noting on whattsupwiththat.com related to AWG.

"America will never be destroyed from the outside,
if we falter and lose our freedoms,
it will be because we destroyed ourselves."
Abraham Lincoln

[turtlespeed 212]

jclalor

***http://wattsupwiththat.com/2015/05/13/forecasting-climate-change-is-a-very-complex-process/



this is worth reading

Quote

You will discover predicting long range climatic conditions have about the same chance of success as selecting next week’s six winning lottery numbers. Let’s look at weather. How about predicting the exact local rainfall next week? The dates, number, violence, and exact paths of Atlantic hurricanes for next season? Acquiring the skills and knowledge to predict such future climate and weather conditions with any degree of accuracy is still out into the future. To do so will require extremely complex data bases. Even then, random variance will hamper predictive capability. Data bases must include carefully controlled collections of geological, geophysical, meteorological, oceanographic, and biological information. Even though, the collection of data has vastly improved, the density and location of measurement sites in the oceans are still a weak link. However, the volume of data being collected by satellites is overcoming many of these weaknesses.

Worth reading?


When you post about the same topic, using then same source, on almost a daily basis, who's going to bother reading it?

You should go back to Alex Jones.

Why not Alex Cross?

I'm not usually into the whole 3-way thing, but you got me a little excited with that. - Skymama
BTR #1 / OTB^5 Official #2 / Hellfish #408 / VSCR #108/Tortuga/Orfun