Stumpy
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New Zealand
Posts posted by Stumpy
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9 hours ago, billvon said:Try the 538 predictor. It runs simulations on various state outcomes.
Hmmm Nate Silver has been off his game for a couple of cycles now. CBouzy who has been pretty much bang on last few times is predicting Kamala will win Florida.
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47 minutes ago, JerryBaumchen said:Hi Stumpy,
So, where is home; Scotland or NZ?
Jerry Baumchen
For the immediate future, Scotland.
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On 9/7/2024 at 5:49 AM, obelixtim said:Only a fact of life in the US. No civilized country has to deal with this crap.
FIFY
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On 9/7/2024 at 2:40 PM, SethInMI said:nice photo location.
https://www.undiscoveredscotland.co.uk/usbiography/s/davidstirling.html10 mins from home :)
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On 9/7/2024 at 7:21 PM, kallend said:Which engine?
1999 MX5/ Miata 1.8 engine, gearbox, LSD.
Aftermarket ECU - about 160 HP -
5 hours ago, kallend said:who remembers Nippleboy
Actually no - and I've been here a long time!!!
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13 hours ago, winsor said:I wish I was wrong.
I have good news for you!
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Just now, jakee said:So it doesn't help them - that's neutral. They can keep doing what they're doing if they're happy with it. Nothing stupid there.
It does help people whose employers give them no reason to care about their company and instead take as much advantage as they can. That's good, not stupid.
So on balance, one neutral effect plus one good effect = a good law.
Agree.
Managers/leaders who know what they are doing shouldn't contact their employees out of hours anyway. -
From the DNC
QuoteNavarro: Let's be serious. Donald Trump and his minions call Kamala a communist. I know communism. I fled communism from Nicaragua when I was 8 years old. I don't take it lightly. And let me tell you what communist dictators do. And it's never just for one day. They attack the free press. They call them the enemy of the people like Ortega does in Nicaragua. They put their unqualified relatives in cushy government jobs so they can get rich off their positions like the Castros do in Cuba and they refuse to accept legitimate elections when they lose and call for violence to stay in power like Maduro is doing right now in Venezuela. Now you tell me something. Do any of those things sound familiar? Is there anybody running for president who reminds you of that?
Good point.
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14 minutes ago, jakee said:The presidency is not up for grabs at every congressional election.
Sorry - every 4 years.
(You know what I meant)
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9 hours ago, JerryBaumchen said:10 hours ago, Stumpy said:Genuine question - why does the senate work differently to Congress and the presidency with regards to term length and concurrency with elections?
Hi Stumpy.
I am not sure I really understand your question.
Yeah covered by the other answers. Just seems a bit weird that every election all of Congress and the pres is up for grabs, but it's only whichever senators happen to have come to end of term that particular time. No judgement on that specifically, maybe some form of continuity isn't a bad thing, I was just curious.
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5 hours ago, gowlerk said:Senate
Genuine question - why does the senate work differently to Congress and the presidency with regards to term length and concurrency with elections?
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They don't believe there is any way that trump can lose the election, therefore if they lose, the democrats must have stolen it. No amount of evidence will prove otherwise. Sounds a bit like religion to me
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7 minutes ago, nigel99 said:Can you explain specifically why you think the dems are worse than Donald?
My experience so far is that the people who hold your position struggle to state facts that can be backed up, hence my curiosity.
DEI something something socialist something something Woke etc.
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10 hours ago, billvon said:Can anyone decode this rant?
"What are the chances that Crooked Joe Biden, the WORST President in the history of the U.S., whose Presidency was Unconstitutionally STOLEN from him by Kamabla, Barrack HUSSEIN Obama, Crazy Nancy Pelosi, Shifty Adam Schiff, Cryin' Chuck Schumer, and others on the Lunatic Left, CRASHES the Democrat National Convention and tries to take back the Nomination, beginning with challenging me to another DEBATE. He feels that he made a historically tragic mistake by handing over the U.S. Presidency, a COUP, to the people in the World he most hates, and he wants it back, NOW!!!"
Apparently Trump is terrified of debating Harris so he's fantasizing about a way he can debate Biden again.
The MAGidiots seem to be buying into this narrative that Jill and Joe are going to fight and snatch back the nomination and therefore sink the election campaign - despite all this happening entirely in trumps head. It's so weird.
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2 hours ago, JoeWeber said:I was stoked to watch Biles and Richardson do their things, others too but they are my biggies, but it wasn't possible without paying extra for the privilege and jumping through hoops. The idea behind the games is to bring the world together through sport and friendly competition. Paywalls defeat the idea and make a complete joke of it all, that is if the addition of break dancing as a sport hadn't already done that.
No more ridiculous than synchronised swimming.
Thankfully it's televised on the BBC here. Have managed to watch all the things I wanted to - mens MTB being a particular highlight.
3 favourite characters so far
American pommel horse specialist who is clearly Clark Kent
Turkish pistol shooter/ hitman
Pole vaulter who lost coz his "equipment" was too big
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2 hours ago, billeisele said:No doubt the guy is quite smart
I don't think he is. I think he's been raised to believe it, but this is a guy who managed to bankrupt a casino. That takes some doing.
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10 minutes ago, nigel99 said:Zoom in on his ear :)
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1 hour ago, BartsDaddy said:When did biden get younger? He's 81
He's not in the race any more. You might not have noticed.
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I do think Biden waiting till after the RNC was a stroke of genius and the more I think about it, the more the timing seems carefully calculated. It's genuinely hilarious as an outside observer watching the MAGA crowd scratching round for something to use as the "hook" to pin on her. Aside from the lame "DEI Hire" thing which doesn't stand up given her background, they don't seem to have anything credible at all.
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6 hours ago, nigel99 said:I think the racism and sexism will undermine her
This is my worry. The birthers are already shouting.
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8 hours ago, johnhking1 said:I have seen youtube videos of a number of her speeches. She needs extensive training in public speaking. She also needs work on eliminating her nervous laugh. I don't know if she is a moron, a genius or in between, she currently doesn't present herself very well.
seen any videos of trump speaking? She could be standing on her head and laughing like a hyena and she'd still present better than he does.
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2 hours ago, JoeWeber said:So which EV would you buy today?
2nd hand Taycan.
Very tempted.
Trump
in Speakers Corner
I really REALLY hope the voting shows that.