base698

Members
  • Content

    798
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Feedback

    0%

Everything posted by base698

  1. Woke as a religion was an idea developed by Curtis Yarvin in 2007. It caught on with a circle of reformed libertarians turned neoreactionaries. Bannon and other modern conservatives that ended up in the Trump circle and a few conservative think tanks have neoreactionary ideology as the center. > Specifically, ultracalvinism (which I have also described here and here) is the primary surviving descendant of the American mainline Protestant tradition, which has been the dominant belief system of the United States since its founding. It should be no surprise that it continues in this role, or that since the US’s victory in the last planetary war it has spread worldwide. https://www.unqualified-reservations.org/2007/06/ultracalvinist-hypothesis-in/
  2. They are killing 12,000. Half of which are gang violence. Only if you include suicides. Other countries have higher suicide rates. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/gun-deaths/ Think about all the free hospital capacity if we outlawed coke though. Those billions spent on diabetes could be used to cure kids
  3. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1121416/quantitative-easing-fed-balance-sheet-coronavirus/ They ramped quantitative easing up dramatically. It's not really the amount shown in M1 but think it roughly matches M2.
  4. Alcohol kills about as many or more if you count cancers. Doctors and pharmaceutical companies kill far more from medical mistakes. Coca cola about an order of magnitude more. Even if you include suicides like your 40K number is doing. Can we ban coke?
  5. base698

    covid-19

    He's been the figurehead since the beginning. If you get to be the highest paid government official you also have to take ownership and responsibility for your actions and the actions of your org. That's how leadership works.
  6. That when you saw that graph like I did in 2020 you should have dumped all your cash for Bitcoin, stock and real estate.
  7. > The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks.
  8. base698

    covid-19

    https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/05/health/herd-immunity-usa-vaccines-alone/index.html
  9. base698

    covid-19

    "Almost". Does BCG wane to zero after six months?
  10. base698

    covid-19

    Yeah because I'm not going to dig up every headline where he was quoted. I mispoke because I saw that clip a weeks ago when it first went viral. My original question was around the idea someone could call any covid vaccine the most effective ever. Almost every vaccine I'm aware of is better. The stated high effectiveness no booster littered the media on March and April. Whether it was 90% or 99%. That's much different than 40%-60%. If you want to quibble over a mistake I made with 3% cool. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principle_of_charity Des Pfizer have an incentive to get everyone to buy their product on a recurring plan?
  11. base698

    covid-19

    Only if you're uncharitable.
  12. base698

    covid-19

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2021/04/30/covid-vaccine-fauci-urges-americans-to-not-skip-second-shot.html Here he says 94%. Outright lie is strong language for a 3% difference. Considering it's more like 40% at the end of the five month window. Anything in the 90s seem more like the lie.
  13. base698

    covid-19

    Ok. Here's dozens of headlines and clips of Fauci saying it would be 97% effective. https://mobile.twitter.com/joshfontanilla/status/1449184261811154949 Fact check using the claim he said it would be 100% effective against covid from March for comments on CNN in December https://apnews.com/article/fact-checking-afs:Content:9996141232
  14. base698

    covid-19

    There are dozens of clips of Fauci claiming 97% percent effective and saying we'd have herd immunity by summer. How is 45% effective and constant boosters the most effective vaccine in the world?
  15. From the director of Airplane! https://www.commentary.org/articles/david-zucker/wokeness_destroys-comedy/ > Or when they pressure writers to remove jokes that are otherwise perfectly offensive. As a result of these fear-based decisions, some of the best contemporary comedy minds are abandoning laughter in favor of admittedly brilliant but serious projects such as Joker, directed by Todd Phillips, and Chernobyl, written by Craig Mazin. These men collaborated on two of the Hangover pictures, which struck gold at the box office. Phillips summed up the general plight of the comedy writer when he said, “It’s hard to argue with 30 million people on Twitter. You just can’t do it. So, you just go, ‘I’m out.’”
  16. base698

    covid-19

    "Immune to junk antigens" still means you have more opportunity to stop the infection instead of relying on a single one.
  17. base698

    covid-19

    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41423-021-00779-5 "Life finds a way" Who could have predicted that?
  18. base698

    covid-19

    CDC published data of vaccinated vs not, even with age groups. https://mobile.twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1448826680043212802 https://www.fastcompany.com/90687783/chances-of-getting-covid-after-a-vaccine-cdc-tool-shows-breakthrough-cases-for-pfizer-moderna-jj
  19. base698

    covid-19

    Yeah woops. Missed a zero. Good catch. Anyone know what the ratio of hospitalized to death is? Iirc it was something like 10x.
  20. base698

    covid-19

    I personally would not choose or fret over < 100 in 100k risk between two options. Second I have not seen anything stating hospitalization rate exceeds 2 in 100k for under 18. At the worst rate. If you go by current CDC deaths the number under 18 is 499. 74 million kids. .0000067 chance chance of death. Say 100x more kids are hospitalized than die and that doesn't even get you to 37 in 100k. As stated hospitalization rate includes people testing positive but admitted for other things. So therefore it's lower.
  21. base698

    covid-19

    A minute risk in 100k of one of the side effects of both. There have been other risks and there is still some unknown risk which is impossible to quantity. Hospitalization with covid could mean someone broke their arm with a positive PCR test. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2021/09/covid-hospitalization-numbers-can-be-misleading/620062/ But there are many COVID patients in the hospital with fairly mild symptoms, too, who have been admitted for further observation on account of their comorbidities, or because they reported feeling short of breath. Another portion of the patients in this tally are in the hospital for something unrelated to COVID, and discovered that they were infected only because they were tested upon admission. Even if it is actually 37 in 100k anyone worrying about a 37 in 100k risk rate should never leave the house and certainly should never have done a skydive in their life.
  22. base698

    covid-19

    https://www.opensecrets.org/news/2019/10/big-pharma-continues-to-top-lobbying-spending/ Drugmakers have spent more than $129 million through September, slightly down from nearly $133 million at this time last year, but still far more than any other industry
  23. base698

    covid-19

    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/12/briefing/covid-age-risk-infection-vaccine.html The chart there shows under 1 in 100k for all unvaccinated up to age 50. Way under 1 for under 19. It's based on one location: Seattle which is obviously more healthy on average than Mississippi. > As a point of comparison, the annual risk of death for all vaccinated people over 65 in Seattle this year appears to be around 1 in 2,700. The annual average risk that an American dies in a vehicle crash is lower — about 1 in 8,500 — but not a different order of magnitude.
  24. base698

    covid-19

    https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.08.30.21262866v1 Post-vaccination CAE rate was highest in young boys aged 12-15 following dose two. For boys 12-17 without medical comorbidities, the likelihood of post vaccination dose two CAE is 162.2 and 94.0/million respectively. This incidence exceeds their expected 120-day COVID-19 hospitalization rate at both moderate (August 21, 2021 rates) and high COVID-19 hospitalization incidence
  25. base698

    covid-19

    You're averaging over all age groups. My number is specifically younger men 16-19. In over 85 about 1 in 5 die of covid. In under 18 since beginning of 2020 only 499 have died (less than 1 in 100k).