base698

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Everything posted by base698

  1. True Believer is pretty great and it was written in 1951 with a reflection on the social causes of WW2. > In Germany and Italy the new poor coming from a ruined middle class formed the chief support of the Nazi and Fascist revolutions. The potential revolutionaries in present-day England are not the workers but the disinherited civil servants and businessmen. This class has a vivid memory of affluence and dominion and is not likely to reconcile itself to straitened conditions and political impotence.
  2. > The incidence of gender-affirming mastectomy increased 13-fold (3.7 to 47.7 per 100,000 person-years) during the study period. Of the 209 patients who underwent surgery, the median age at referral was 16 years (range 12-17) and the most common technique was double-incision (85%) https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9555285/
  3. > It is estimated that at least 6,166 overdose deaths involving illicit drugs occurred in the European Union in 2021 (5 796 in 2020). This total rises to an estimated 6 677 deaths if Norway and Türkiye are included (6 434 in 2020). This number is provisional and is an underestimate, due to reporting delays and other limitations in reporting capacity apparent in some countries. Is 6166 smaller or larger than 100,000? Population of EU is larger than the US. Assume the underreporting makes it double it's still an order of magnitude less.
  4. Homicides are comparatively constant only jumping 30%. Overdoses have tripled (300%) since 2018 30k to over 100k. In the same time frame as the life expectancy decline. While homicides have an effect it's not comparable to overdoses. Homicides only went from about 15k in 2017 to 20k in 2020. If you throw in an extra 70k 22 year olds dying by overdose in their mom's bathroom to the 2.7 million yearly deaths that would lower the life expectancy almost 3%.
  5. https://nida.nih.gov/research-topics/trends-statistics/overdose-death-rates
  6. Bitcoin is up like 280x from start of this thread. The defi stuff has really gone to shit and definitely has not aged. All of the dollar backed defi give interest less than Treasury bonds at this point and seems like a pool goes broke every month.
  7. Depends if reasonable attempts were made to be private and the accuser wasn't eavesdropping.
  8. Do you feel you are creating a racial injustice when you eat a taco? Do you believe a society where most cultures stay in their lane by not eating each other's cuisine results in more equity and understanding between cultures?
  9. https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1596083744728928257 I see woke/SJW is more of a crying wolf phenomena. "Donglegate" would be my favorite decade old example: getting two people fired for making a comment between themselves privately at a conference. Or, a white person eating tacos "appropriating".
  10. Woke as a religion was an idea developed by Curtis Yarvin in 2007. It caught on with a circle of reformed libertarians turned neoreactionaries. Bannon and other modern conservatives that ended up in the Trump circle and a few conservative think tanks have neoreactionary ideology as the center. > Specifically, ultracalvinism (which I have also described here and here) is the primary surviving descendant of the American mainline Protestant tradition, which has been the dominant belief system of the United States since its founding. It should be no surprise that it continues in this role, or that since the US’s victory in the last planetary war it has spread worldwide. https://www.unqualified-reservations.org/2007/06/ultracalvinist-hypothesis-in/
  11. They are killing 12,000. Half of which are gang violence. Only if you include suicides. Other countries have higher suicide rates. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/gun-deaths/ Think about all the free hospital capacity if we outlawed coke though. Those billions spent on diabetes could be used to cure kids
  12. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1121416/quantitative-easing-fed-balance-sheet-coronavirus/ They ramped quantitative easing up dramatically. It's not really the amount shown in M1 but think it roughly matches M2.
  13. Alcohol kills about as many or more if you count cancers. Doctors and pharmaceutical companies kill far more from medical mistakes. Coca cola about an order of magnitude more. Even if you include suicides like your 40K number is doing. Can we ban coke?
  14. base698

    covid-19

    He's been the figurehead since the beginning. If you get to be the highest paid government official you also have to take ownership and responsibility for your actions and the actions of your org. That's how leadership works.
  15. That when you saw that graph like I did in 2020 you should have dumped all your cash for Bitcoin, stock and real estate.
  16. > The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks.
  17. base698

    covid-19

    https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/05/health/herd-immunity-usa-vaccines-alone/index.html
  18. base698

    covid-19

    "Almost". Does BCG wane to zero after six months?
  19. base698

    covid-19

    Yeah because I'm not going to dig up every headline where he was quoted. I mispoke because I saw that clip a weeks ago when it first went viral. My original question was around the idea someone could call any covid vaccine the most effective ever. Almost every vaccine I'm aware of is better. The stated high effectiveness no booster littered the media on March and April. Whether it was 90% or 99%. That's much different than 40%-60%. If you want to quibble over a mistake I made with 3% cool. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principle_of_charity Des Pfizer have an incentive to get everyone to buy their product on a recurring plan?
  20. base698

    covid-19

    Only if you're uncharitable.
  21. base698

    covid-19

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2021/04/30/covid-vaccine-fauci-urges-americans-to-not-skip-second-shot.html Here he says 94%. Outright lie is strong language for a 3% difference. Considering it's more like 40% at the end of the five month window. Anything in the 90s seem more like the lie.
  22. base698

    covid-19

    Ok. Here's dozens of headlines and clips of Fauci saying it would be 97% effective. https://mobile.twitter.com/joshfontanilla/status/1449184261811154949 Fact check using the claim he said it would be 100% effective against covid from March for comments on CNN in December https://apnews.com/article/fact-checking-afs:Content:9996141232
  23. base698

    covid-19

    There are dozens of clips of Fauci claiming 97% percent effective and saying we'd have herd immunity by summer. How is 45% effective and constant boosters the most effective vaccine in the world?
  24. From the director of Airplane! https://www.commentary.org/articles/david-zucker/wokeness_destroys-comedy/ > Or when they pressure writers to remove jokes that are otherwise perfectly offensive. As a result of these fear-based decisions, some of the best contemporary comedy minds are abandoning laughter in favor of admittedly brilliant but serious projects such as Joker, directed by Todd Phillips, and Chernobyl, written by Craig Mazin. These men collaborated on two of the Hangover pictures, which struck gold at the box office. Phillips summed up the general plight of the comedy writer when he said, “It’s hard to argue with 30 million people on Twitter. You just can’t do it. So, you just go, ‘I’m out.’”
  25. base698

    covid-19

    "Immune to junk antigens" still means you have more opportunity to stop the infection instead of relying on a single one.