billvon

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Everything posted by billvon

  1. You forgot to mention Obama, DEI, critical race theory and the female cartoon M+M character that now has sneakers instead of high heels because woke. Other than that, spot on.
  2. Oh, give him a few minutes for him to google Alex Jones, the Daily Stormer and OAN. Surely he can find a quote about how Anthony Fauci started COVID, and he worked for Trump but is really a democrat, so COVID is all the democrat's fault.
  3. billvon

    Trump

    Interesting trouble brewing in the Trump camp. As many reporters have noted Melania is nowhere to be seen these days; her public appearances have become very rare. Meanwhile, Trump has taken up with Lauren Loomer, and is seen often with this far right extremist who apparently has his ear now. Loomer is so far gone into the Islamaphobe/white supremacist/neo-Nazi camp that Marjorie Taylor Greene, of all people, has started calling on her to leave Trump alone. In retaliation, Loomer called Greene a "hooker" and a adulterer. Even Lindsey Graham spoke out against her negative influence on Trump, to which Loomer replied that Graham was a faggot. Someone get the popcorn, this is going to be good.
  4. To actually address the report, let's look at the summaries. Items Brent wants to hide in bold. Observed Warming and its Causes Human activities, principally through emissions of greenhouse gases, have unequivocally caused global warming, with global surface temperature reaching 1.1°C above 1850–1900 in 2011–2020. Global greenhouse gas emissions have continued to increase, with unequal historical and ongoing contributions arising from unsustainable energy use, land use and land-use change, lifestyles and patterns of consumption and production across regions, between and within countries, and among individuals (high confidence). Observed Changes and Impacts Widespread and rapid changes in the atmosphere, ocean, cryosphere and biosphere have occurred. Human-caused climate change is already affecting many weather and climate extremes in every region across the globe. This has led to widespread adverse impacts and related losses and damages to nature and people (high confidence). Vulnerable communities who have historically contributed the least to current climate change are disproportionately affected (high confidence). Current Progress in Adaptation and Gaps and Challenges Adaptation planning and implementation has progressed across all sectors and regions, with documented benefits and varying effectiveness. Despite progress, adaptation gaps exist, and will continue to grow at current rates of implementation. Hard and soft limits to adaptation have been reached in some ecosystems and regions. Maladaptation is happening in some sectors and regions. Current global financial flows for adaptation are insufficient for, and constrain implementation of, adaptation options, especially in developing countries (high confidence). Current Mitigation Progress, Gaps and Challenges Policies and laws addressing mitigation have consistently expanded since AR5. Global GHG emissions in 2030 implied by nationally determined contributions (NDCs) announced by October 2021 make it likely that warming will exceed 1.5°C during the 21st century and make it harder to limit warming below 2°C. There are gaps between projected emissions from implemented policies and those from NDCs and finance flows fall short of the levels needed to meet climate goals across all sectors and regions. (high confidence) Future Climate Change, Risks, and Long-Term Responses Continued greenhouse gas emissions will lead to increasing global warming, with the best estimate of reaching 1.5°C in the near term in considered scenarios and modelled pathways. Every increment of global warming will intensify multiple and concurrent hazards (high confidence). Deep, rapid, and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions would lead to a discernible slowdown in global warming within around two decades, and also to discernible changes in atmospheric composition within a few years (high confidence). Climate Change Impacts and Climate-Related Risks For any given future warming level, many climate-related risks are higher than assessed in AR5, and projected long-term impacts are up to multiple times higher than currently observed (high confidence). Risks and projected adverse impacts and related losses and damages from climate change escalate with every increment of global warming (very high confidence). Climatic and non-climatic risks will increasingly interact, creating compound and cascading risks that are more complex and difficult to manage (high confidence). Likelihood and Risks of Unavoidable, Irreversible or Abrupt Changes Some future changes are unavoidable and/or irreversible but can be limited by deep, rapid and sustained global greenhouse gas emissions reduction. The likelihood of abrupt and/or irreversible changes increases with higher global warming levels. Similarly, the probability of low-likelihood outcomes associated with potentially very large adverse impacts increases with higher global warming levels. Adaptation Options and their Limits in a Warmer World Adaptation options that are feasible and effective today will become constrained and less effective with increasing global warming. With increasing global warming, losses and damages will increase and additional human and natural systems will reach adaptation limits. Maladaptation can be avoided by flexible, multi-sectoral, inclusive, long-term planning and implementation of adaptation actions, with co-benefits to many sectors and systems. (high confidence) Carbon Budgets and Net Zero Emissions Limiting human-caused global warming requires net zero CO2 emissions. Cumulative carbon emissions until the time of reaching net-zero CO2 emissions and the level of greenhouse gas emission reductions this decade largely determine whether warming can be limited to 1.5°C or 2°C (high confidence). Projected CO2 emissions from existing fossil fuel infrastructure without additional abatement would exceed the remaining carbon budget for 1.5°C (50%) (high confidence). Mitigation Pathways All global modelled pathways that limit warming to 1.5°C (>50%) with no or limited overshoot, and those that limit warming to 2°C (>67%), involve rapid and deep and, in most cases, immediate greenhouse gas emissions reductions in all sectors this decade. Global net zero CO2 emissions are reached for these pathway categories, in the early 2050s and around the early 2070s, respectively. (high confidence) {3.3, 3.4, 4.1, 4.5, Table 3.1} (Figure SPM.5, Box SPM.1) Urgency of Near-Term Integrated Climate Action Climate change is a threat to human well-being and planetary health (very high confidence). There is a rapidly closing window of opportunity to secure a liveable and sustainable future for all (very high confidence). Climate resilient development integrates adaptation and mitigation to advance sustainable development for all, and is enabled by increased international cooperation including improved access to adequate financial resources, particularly for vulnerable regions, sectors and groups, and inclusive governance and coordinated policies (high confidence). The choices and actions implemented in this decade will have impacts now and for thousands of years (high confidence). The Benefits of Near-Term Action Deep, rapid and sustained mitigation and accelerated implementation of adaptation actions in this decade would reduce projected losses and damages for humans and ecosystems (very high confidence), and deliver many co-benefits, especially for air quality and health (high confidence). Delayed mitigation and adaptation action would lock-in high-emissions infrastructure, raise risks of stranded assets and cost-escalation, reduce feasibility, and increase losses and damages (high confidence). Near-term actions involve high up-front investments and potentially disruptive changes that can be lessened by a range of enabling policies (high confidence). Mitigation and Adaptation Options across Systems Rapid and far-reaching transitions across all sectors and systems are necessary to achieve deep and sustained emissions reductions and secure a liveable and sustainable future for all. These system transitions involve a significant upscaling of a wide portfolio of mitigation and adaptation options. Feasible, effective, and low-cost options for mitigation and adaptation are already available, with differences across systems and regions. (high confidence)
  5. billvon

    Trump

    Yep. We got a Vietnamese student in the elementary school I was in. One of the teachers asked me to spend an hour a day with her going over vocabulary, so I did. She was super timid because she didn't speak English at that point and couldn't communicate. About a week after she got there the "their family eats dogs" thing started. Someone found out where they lived and egged their house. Caused a bit of a rift in town; one or two incidents along the lines of "don't tell me you're a slant lover!" in local bars leading to fights. (Of course this was only a few years after the Vietnam War ended.) Same shit, different day.
  6. Thank you for demonstrating that food production in traditional areas is changing due to climate change.
  7. "But there's this exception and there's that exception, and it's unfair to use data, and I never said anything about inflation, and Clinton did it first anyway!"
  8. No it's not. If Brent Metz and the two teens had been paid to be in this scene, and Metz had been handed a gun by an armorer who told him it was loaded with blanks, and a director had told Metz "OK I want you to walk up to the car, point it at the teenager and pull the trigger," and Metz said "OK" and then did that - then it would be similar. But since there is not a single similarity between the two - no, there is nothing similar about them.
  9. Storm rates are increasing, although this is a very weak (shallow slope) data set:
  10. billvon

    Trump

    I think "black people are eating dogs" is somewhat racist. The first thing I thought of when I heard that was the blood libel, where Jews were accused of using the blood of Christian children to make matzos. Not as outrageous but just as hard to prove, and just as easy to promulgate. And it worked!
  11. The felon has demonstrated that he is not intelligent enough to grasp such a concept. Evil AND stupid is never a winning combination. Even if the evil he is doing is your kind of evil.
  12. billvon

    Trump

    "Dog doesn't bite man because the evil MS-13 illegal immigrant ate him, really, everyone is talking about it"
  13. Try the 538 predictor. It runs simulations on various state outcomes.
  14. Socialism is government control of the means of production and distribution. Roads, for example, are designed and built under control of the government. The organizations who build them are either wholly owned by the government, or the government contracts out the work and tells the contractor exactly what to do. Roads are "distributed" (i.e. made available) also by the government, who require things like government licenses and government registration before you are allowed to use them.
  15. It sounds here like you are listening to (and believing) a politician's words, and ignoring what they actually did as president. Most people learn that politicians lie fairly early on, and that the only real way to evaluate them is to see what they DO. And based on that, Harris will be better than Trump for the economy. Side note. If you ARE noting what sort of language they are using, and heeding it as a bellwether of what they will do as a president - do you really want someone who is using the language of Hitler leading the US?
  16. Facts: Trump/Pence increased debt by $7.8 trillion Biden/Harris increased debt by $6.2 trillion (so far) - extrapolating that through the final four months of his presidency gets us to $6.8 trillion Trump would be a disaster for the debt; Harris would be a bit better. As always, sorry about the facts.
  17. billvon

    Trump

    Doesn't do much to insulate you if they already want to talk to you.
  18. billvon

    Trump

    Well that pilot is screwed. I give it two days before Trump blames him and then throws him under the bus.
  19. billvon

    Trump

    Josh Hawley (the famous track star of the Jan 6th attack) has an explanation for the sanctions against the pro-Trump Russian media attack. It's not pro-Trump, you see, it's pro-Harris. And there are no sanctions. And it's not foreign, it's domestic. It's not Russia - it's really the "deep state." And the FBI. And the democrats. Good to see him defending Putin. "This is the third straight presidential election that they've tried this. Nobody believes this stuff. This isn't about foreign interference by Russia. This is a smokescreen for domestic interference by our deep state and the Democrat Party. This is the same play that they've run for years. In 2016, the FBI used this playbook in order to interfere in our election that year.”
  20. That's OK. No one needs to put her in charge of Health and Human Services. Perhaps deputy secretary of commerce? That gives her some input without the ability to do much damage.
  21. This is getting bigger. NPR has released the names of the people involved. Deputy campaign manager Justin Caporale and Trump advance team member Michel Picard were stopped by a woman who works for the cemetary, who informed them that no photographers other than official Arlington photographers can take photos in the cemetary. She was then shoved aside, and the team continued into the cemetary for a photo-op. The photo-op is now in a Tiktok campaign ad. Since then, Trump has denied the incident ever took place: "There was no conflict or ‘fighting’ at Arlington National Cemetery last week. It was a made up story by Comrade Kamala and her misinformation squad. She made it all up...there was no anything.” This contradicts his own campaign; they claimed that a "despicable individual" had "a mental health episode" and blocked them, and thus they were forced to move her aside. In fact, they have said they will release footage of the event to prove that she was in the wrong, and that their assault on the woman was justified. And now other families are speaking out. One family whose child's tombstone was in the photo op has said "the Trump campaign staffers did not adhere to the rules that were set in place for this visit. We hope that those visiting this sacred site understand that there were real people who sacrificed for our freedom and that they are honored and respected and treated accordingly." Sadly, this will likely result in attacks on this Gold Star family.
  22. Yeah, this always happens just prior to an election. It should calm down in December. I am in favor of the shot-of-whiskey approach. It will not solve the problem but will result in amusing threads.
  23. Every conservative's greatest fear! That they will no longer be the majority - and they will be treated as THEY treated minorities. Ah, karma. It's a wonderful thing.
  24. In the MAGA world. I mean, in the MAGA world, the kids in that school are all safe from drag queens, rainbow flags and woke. Isn't that what is _really_ important here?