skr

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Posts posted by skr


  1. I read to the bottom of Bryan Burke's article

    http://www.dropzone.com/safety/General_Safety/The_Horizontal_Flight_Problem_935.html

    and tried to add a comment, but it doesn't show up.

    I was able to rate it by clicking on one of the little gold stars but couldn't add a comment.

    Skr

  2. Besides all the other good answers above
    I find it helpful to get on Google Maps and
    practice seeing how the runways, surrounding
    ground features and so on look.

    I look at the dropzone from various altitudes
    then look away and practice visualizing it.

    I do that enough times that I can see the
    runways and know their numbers, and can
    see the river, highway, town, railroad track,
    race track, or whatever, and know which
    way north, south, east and west are.

    That helps me assimilate the avalanche
    of other new stuff I will encounter at a
    new dropzone.

    Skr

  3. > Writing to us the 'old' jumpers Skratch!

    Yes, some of the gear, airplanes, and common
    practices have changed, but lots of his stories
    revolve around human nature, motives, quirks,
    bravado ..

    How many young guys get in trouble doing
    something weird these days because underneath
    it all they were just trying to get noticed by
    all the pretty girls? :-) :-)

    I remember a story about them jumping a
    watermelon - a Texas sized watermelon.

    Right away I'm visualizing something the size
    of a small tank, with handles dangling off the
    ends (how'd they get that thing into and out
    of a 195?).

    And immediately upon exit the watermelon
    goes supersonic, with two jumpers fluttering
    in the breeze, leaving the camera and third
    jumper stranded in freefall at exit altitude.

    So they seek wisdom far into the night, and
    decide to try it with a mattress the next day.

    A mattress?? From a 195??

    But I can see that story happening today.

    The jumpsuits and gear and airplanes may
    have changed but ...

    The "old days" really were different in some
    ways, and I'm glad I got to see it, but under
    the surface a lot is still the same.

    Kind of scary thinking there's lots of young
    guys out there now with attitudes like ours
    were back then, isn't it? :-) :-)

    Skr

  4. Aha! I thought there might be more to the story
    than appeared in Parachutist :-) :-)

    It was good to see the uncut version, but I agree
    with Guru312 that your stories reveal even more.

    So if you happen to fall into a reminiscing reverie
    from time to time ...

    You'll be writing to us, the jumpers, not to some
    Parachutist editor, so you can just kind of let go
    and ...

    Skr

  5. Clarice just forwarded this email from Brian Williams:

    Date: Sun, 5 Aug 2012 19:48:02 -0700 (PDT)
    From: Brian Williams
    Subject: Bill Newell gone

    I'm sad to say, but Bill passed on sometime after 6:00 P.M. today. He battled the Grim Reaper to the very end. I've known this Great Guy for 49 years and will miss him terribly.

    Brian Williams

  6. > They are from way back in the Casa Grande era

    Way back?

    Whaddya mean *way back*?!

    It seems like just day before yesterday.

    I ran into Bob Schaeffer in Oklahoma in 1980
    when I was helping Hillsy at Skydance, but I
    haven't seen Mike in a long time.

    Those guys really knew how to run a drop zone.

    Thanks, Gary. It's good to know Mike is still
    active and flying.

    Skr

  7. Worst DZO?

    I've been jumping at Snohomish for the last
    four years and I have a different impression
    of Tyson.

    He reminds me of Bryan Burke down at Eloy
    who looks at the whole system and how the
    various components fit into the overall
    situation and tries to let people do as
    much as they can without endangering others.

    And I'm sure he would like to be doing some
    wingsuit jumps himself.

    But I think he's up against the question of
    how to coordinate really different flight
    modes, like swooping with regular canopy
    flight this is wingsuits with straight
    downers and high pulling tandems.

    And I think the real sticking point is the
    effort it would take to keep new wingsuiters
    out of the straight downer airspace.

    Multiple landing zones and airplanes add to
    the complication, but I think the training
    to keep the airspaces separated is probably
    the stumbling block.


    Didn't Mark Twain say something about people
    who do what's right even when it's inconvenient
    and unpopular?

    Something like aggravating some and astonishing
    the rest? :-) :-)

    Skr

  8. > our mom was to say the least, one of a kind.

    Most of the people she jumped with were
    unique and colorful characters, but yes, she
    stood out even in that crowd, and not just
    because we were nearly all guys and she
    was a really pretty girl :-) :-)

    I wasn't there for her malfunction, but now
    that you mention it I remember it happening.

    I remember her being on the Fairchild jumps
    at Oceanside.

    I was jumping at Oceanside, Elsinore, Taft,
    Arvin, Lancaster and California City, and ran
    into her at several places, but I imagine that
    I noticed her much more than she noticed me.

    People are fading fast. It's good that you have
    so many memories of her.

    Skr

  9. I don't know.

    Danger wasn't why I started jumping.

    I wanted to go out in space and be weightless,
    but I was inconveniently born a couple centuries
    before that became commonly available.

    And I wanted to fly, like a bird.

    And when I was a kid I played WW-II pilot getting
    shot down over Germany so I would have to bail
    out, and I would fall and fall and fall.

    And for a couple summers I spent all day jumping
    off the 24 ft diving platform, accumulating several
    days worth of freefall one second at a time :-) :-)

    And when I finally did start I was really, really scared
    until I got stable (11th jump), and that wasn't fun.

    And the times after that when I would get in some
    situation and be really shit scared weren't fun either.


    On the other hand ..

    That danger introduced me to intense focus, and
    forethought, and paying attention, and I found that
    I really liked that.

    And I remember, in the late 70's, when life was starting
    to transition, wondering why I had to jump in order to
    focus like that.

    Well, of course you don't. People have known that
    for thousands of years. That led to a big thrash of
    reading spiritual and meditation books.

    And as I became more self aware, or maybe honest,
    over the years I found that I was drawn to situations
    of concentration and paying attention.

    I remember, working at the Academy of Science in
    Beijing a few years ago, the first time I decided to
    try taking a taxi and get further than walking distance
    from my apartment.

    It was like the pre-jump jitters of my first jump,
    reviewing how to say where I wanted to go, pinchecking
    everything I was taking with me, going to the bathroom
    again ..

    And when I got to the subway and started down the
    steps into the vast unknown of god-knows-what
    my heart was racing like on any jumprun.


    So I guess I'd change my answer from not sure to
    about the same as it is now.

    I don't like being afraid but I like what I've learned
    from it.

    Skr

  10. Well all the words floating around in my mind
    seem kind of trite and inadequate.

    He used to jump at Oceanside, near Camp Pendleton,
    in the early 60's, and when I'd run into him here
    and there over the years he always seemed like
    the same guy - a little more weather beaten, but
    the same, quiet guy.

    And he was always in such good shape I guess
    I thought he'd just kind of go on forever.

    Damn ..

    Well, thanks for posting this.

    Skr

  11. Hi Al,

    > The old crowd seems to be shrinking at an alarming rate now. I don't know if you've seen Bill Newell's latest post (5-5-12) on Air Trash but it snapped me back to reality.

    I didn't know about that. Thanks for telling me.


    I should apologize for pulling in your face before
    it's too late.

    It's just that I was used to pulling at two rather
    than breaking at two. I actually saw you, but by
    the time it registered my right hand was going
    for the ripcord and it pulled before I could shift
    gears.

    And then when you said I should be able to handle
    myself at 1,500 ft I knew you were right but I was
    too embarrassed to say so.

    It's funny the stuff you remember.

    Skr

  12. I got so involved in drawing that ascii diagram
    that I forgot about this part:

    > Why is this not true in your example:
    > When J1 passes through, it will take him horizontally farther away from J2 and when J2 pass through it will take him horizontally closer to J1, back to the original horizontal separation at exit.
    >
    > J1 will see J2 first moving horizontally away from him and then horizontally closer to him.

    Except that I woke up a couple mornings later
    thinking "No, he's right. That apparent extra
    separation disappears right there in the forward
    throw layer."

    So then I started trying to think where I got off
    the track, thinking I would come back here and say
    something, but I can't seem to concentrate on this
    right now.

    This is especially annoying because I used to think
    what you just said, and even posted about it.

    rec.skydiving Sept 1999:

    > One way I retrain my intuition is to practice standing in the door
    > with my primary focus being my relation to the ground and my motion
    > across it. With high uppers I can see that I am not moving very much
    > and the previous group is being swept away by the upper wind. When
    > I step out I too will be swept away by that same wind and will end
    > up pretty close on top of them.
    >
    > With no uppers, I am covering distance across the ground and basically
    > leaving the previous group where they got out (except for forward throw)
    > and moving away from them.

    Bryan Burke has a number of pithy sayings, one of which is

    "Minds are like parachutes.
    "Sometimes they just don't work.

    So this effort foundered on poorly formulated physics,
    but I'll be back sometime later and start a new thread.

    I know that 98% of the attention these days needs to be
    developing customs that allow different kinds of canopy
    flying to coexist, but I'd just like to have a nice, clean
    exposition that takes new jumpers from their initial intuition
    of looking out the door and leaving room, to why that doesn't
    work with uppers, to when groundspeed is a good technique
    and when conditions are in unsolved territory.

    Skr

  13. I mostly hear "hard deck" when people are talking
    about when to stop trying to fix it and start taking
    steps to get a reserve out.

    But there are all kinds of "mental gear shift" points.

    When do I decide I can't make it over the freeway
    or alligator farm and land over here?

    When do I decide I'm not going to make it to shore
    and start preparing for a water landing?

    If I have a canopy collision when am I too low to
    cutaway?

    ----

    One thing about "trying to fix it" is that it's really
    easy to get focused on trying to fix it, and forget
    how fast you're coming down.

    So to me practicing and ingraining that "Try once,
    try twice" reaction is really important.

    Skr

  14. Well that's hard to hear.

    He really was one of the good guys.

    He used to come over to Hillsy's dropzone
    in Oklahoma.

    He was not only really good with students,
    he was colorful, entertaining, a good story
    teller, and deep. A very perceptive guy.

    One by one, they're leaving, one by one.

    Skr

  15. > It STILL seems as though you are saying that J1 didn't pass through that same higher, faster moving layer.

    Right. This region during and right after exit
    is hard to get into words.

    The bottom is easy. J1 arrives at O1; a little while
    later J2 arrives at O2.

    Once you can control opening points you can talk about
    group centers and tracking and canopy motion and so on.

    And the middle is easy. Each jumper is falling straight
    down in his little patch of air, and the higher patch
    is moving slowly toward the lower patch.

    But the exit stage is hard. It's not linear, and J1 and
    J2 are in corresponding parts of their trajectory at
    different times, and so on.

    I find myself fantasizing about taking John's program
    and modifying it to have one jumper exit, and then
    some time later a similar jumper exit, and plot, or
    somehow display, a history of their horizontal separation.

    He's already done all the heavy lifting, selecting the
    drag law, the numerical integration technique, step size,
    and so on.

    But I know I'm not going to do that. I'm just a couple
    g's short of floating off to ... otherwhere.

    But maybe there's some energetic math or physics student
    out there who could be enticed by the fame and glory of
    finally resolving the notorious separation debate :-) :-)

    And then students could all look at that program.

    And we experienced jumpers, too. I'd like to run a bunch
    of different scenarios and get a clearer idea of exactly
    how the distances play out.

    ----

    But! To your question:

    J1 and J2 are not interchangeable. It's not symmetric.
    If we start the video running when J1 exits, then J2's
    path doesn't look like J1's. It has an extra, horizontal
    piece on the front end.

    The freefall parts of the trajectories have the same
    shape, but when you're comparing J1 and J2 moment by
    moment you're comparing points on two dissimilar paths.


    UPPERS ------ > <------- AIRPLANE

    T=J2 exit T=0 =J1 exit
    _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ =J2 keep going straight and level
    / /
    | |
    \ \
    \ \
    \ \T=J2 exit <--comparing J2's freefall
    \ \ trajectory from top to
    \ \ almost bottom with J1's
    \ \ from here on down
    \ \
    \ \
    \ \
    \ \
    \T=part way down \
    \ \
    | |
    | |
    | |
    | |T=part way down
    / /
    / /
    / /
    / /
    open open


    # # # # # # # GROUND # # # # # # # # # # GROUND # # #


    So, I can't answer any better than that until that mythical,
    long lost, skydiving, physics grad student shows up and we
    can run a bunch of examples.

    It's a good question.

    Skr

  16. Well! That wasn't the discussion I was expecting
    from that first post. I know .. Expectations ..

    I thought we were going to talk about training students.

    But I'm worn out, so I'm going to restate the central
    point, and go have a beer or something.

    When jumper 2 exits:


    |<------>| is the separation of exit points

    |<=======.======>| is the separation jumper 2 sees


    UPPERS ----------- > < ----------- AIRPLANE

    |<------>|
    EP2 EP1
    |<=======.======>|
    . . J1
    . .
    . .
    . .
    . .
    . .
    . .
    . .
    . .
    . .
    . . OP2 OP1
    . . .<------>.
    . . . .
    . . . .
    # # # # # GROUND # # # # # # # GROUND # # # # #


    The relevance of this is that almost everybody's
    first intuition for leaving separation is to look
    out the door, see |<=======.======>| for separation,
    and expect that to still be there at opening time.

    That's the ground based, mockup intuition of how
    the world works.

    They need to understand that they're going to spend
    all but the first and last bits of the freefall in
    a steady state situation where jumper 2 is in a higher,
    faster moving layer, and that they're going to end up
    with |<------>| at the bottom.

    And I think it's possible for experienced jumpers and
    USPA and the Safety and Training Committee to explain
    this to new jumpers.

    I know ..
    "Look Martha! Hand me my camera!
    There's an idealistic optimist!" :-) :-)

    Skr

  17. Hey, Walt, I've read this 3 times trying to get
    why you're saying this.

    An aerodynamic, plutonium brick will take longer
    than a feather, but they both get to 80 knots.

    The sideways motion is independent of the downward
    motion.

    Unless .. Do you mean by this:

    > As the angle from vertical increases, it tells-reflects the amount of effect the moving medium has on it.

    that the motion is asymptotic, that it gets closer
    and closer to 80 but never actually gets there?

    Skr

  18. > Why should the position over the ground have any significance at all? I really don't get it.

    You're right. As a question on a physics test,
    tossing spherical, isotropic skydivers off the
    tailgate and watching their horizontal separation
    evolve over time, the ground is irrelevant.

    And actually, in the rec.skydiving discussions
    several people kept pointing this out. When a new
    example or theory was being put forth, they would
    wait until the jumpers were in freefall and then
    bring out this giant yellow Caterpillar tractor
    and start hauling the dropzone around under the
    jumpers.

    At the time I found this annoying because I was still
    trying to understand how both airspeed and groundspeed
    arguments could seem so convincing.

    You would have been one of those guys :-) :-)

    I finally pulled back from trying to follow other
    people's arguments and sat down to think it through
    from a standing start for myself.

    I found that if I imagined standing on the ground,
    a couple miles off to one side, and watched a jumprun
    unfold, I could see all the parts in a way that I knew
    the physics was correct.

    The exit points on the ground, the corresponding points
    in the space above the ground, the opening points, the
    patches of air in the exit layer where people exited,
    the way those patches moved across the sky with that
    layer of wind, the patches where they opened and the
    way they moved relative to the ground, and so on.

    Once I had that I could listen as others layed out
    their current theory and I could follow it, and I could
    see if I agreed or exactly where I might disagree.

    That's when I saw that the second freefall trajectory
    was exactly the same as the first, just displaced upwind,
    and you could separate opening points by separating
    exit points.

    So my answer was, when the first person goes, look
    down at the ground and see where they got out, go
    a certain distance across the ground, and go.

    It was neither airspeed nor groundspeed, it was all
    spatial distance.

    So I posted about that and advocated that for several
    years. But I gradually saw that it's not practical.
    I had spotted a lot in the past, but these days lots
    of people never get the chance to spot any.

    --------

    Once I had that I could see how, when the first jumper
    get's out, the plane flies upwind from that point in
    space, and the first jumper blows downwind from that
    point in space.

    And the second jumper sees a large distance to the
    first jumper at exit, while at the same time separating
    exit points by a smaller distance.

    That excess distance is what disappears from the moving
    layers effect.

    --------

    (I guess I'm actually now responding to later posts in
    (the thread, not just to strop45.

    Some time back John asked why we're still talking about
    this since Newton's laws haven't changed in several hundred
    years, and I said because the current problem is psychological
    and social rather than physics.

    Almost everybody's initial intuition for leaving separation
    is to look out the door and leave some room between jumpers.

    Now you can say "Use groundspeed", and some people are happy
    with that. That's all they want to know.

    But! They won't know why, and they won't know the conditions
    under which it's appropriate.

    And there are plenty of people around who don't accept proof
    by authority, they want to think for themselves and know how
    it works.

    And for those people we need to explain the genesis and limits
    of that initial intuition, and some ways to see the more complicated
    situation of winds, and the approximation and limits of groundspeed.

    That's what the initial post in this thread was about.

    I think John and Bill and others are doing a good job of
    simplifying a complicated situation.

    ----

    Billvon, it's a good thing your 80 knot example wasn't 120 mph
    with the jumper falling away from the plane at 45 degrees for
    the whole jump.

    That would have really stirred things up :-) :-)

    Skr

  19. > Scratch has now explained explained that he was only discussing the "45 degree angle rule"

    No, I am not.

    I am talking about the initial intuition that leads people,
    when they first encounter the separation question, to look
    out the door and leave what looks like good opening separation
    between them and the person that went in front of them.

    And how that leads us astray.

    And how to expand that intuition so that what actually,
    physically happens seems normal.

    In the hopes that when enough new people have been taught this,
    it will become concensus reality and this whole separation
    discussion will recede into history.


    I remember when I first encountered this, Pope Valley, 1970's,
    Bill Dause told us one morning that we were going to start
    putting multiple big groups out of the DC3.

    There was horrified silence and a vast reluctance :-) :-)

    But none of us discussed how to do it, we just looked out
    the door and left a whole lot of room between us and the
    group in front of us.

    I was elsewhere in the 80's and didn't see that part of
    the evolution.

    My next encounter was the legendary airspeed-groundspeed
    debate on rec.skydiving around 1995. After reading a thread
    of wildly varying views and really clever arguments going
    in every which direction I was really confused.

    The arguments were so convincing, and the conclusions were
    so contradictory.

    If I imagined standing on the ground watching a jumprun,
    then separating opening points by separating exit points
    was obviously right. And I got better and better at the
    physics of it all.

    But I couldn't shake the feeling that if I looked out
    the door and left separation that that was also obviously
    right.

    It was only when I saw billvon formulating the situation
    as moving layers that I realized that I was unconsciously
    using a ground based intuition about how the world works
    in a situation with a lot of moving parts where it didn't
    apply.

    And I think, by the way people talk about it, that a lot of
    other people are falling into the same trap.

    That's what the original post was about.

    I'm not trying to solve a question of skydiving technique,
    I'm trying to solve a sociology problem, which is the
    never-ending separation discussion.

    I haven't been over to look at Brian's stuff yet, but I'm
    sure that if he ever stumbled across this thread he would
    understand immediately what I'm trying to do.

    Skr

  20. > Am I missing something here?

    Maybe it's that some words like "separation" are
    being used with different meanings in different
    parts of the conversation.

    "Exit point" used to just mean the place on the ground
    that you got out over. When these airspeed-groundspeed
    discussions came up, I'm not sure when, my first encounter
    was in the mid 90's, people started also meaning a
    corresponding point in the sky above the point on the
    ground. There could be 3 exit points, ground, opening
    layer, exit layer.

    And similarly for "opening point".

    Used that way separation between exit points translates
    directly to separation between opening points.

    But the intuitive way that almost everybody, before they
    encounter the airspeed-groundspeed discussion, first thinks
    of for leaving separation is to look out the door and leave
    some distance between you and the person who got out in front
    of you.

    In that case "separation at exit" means from you in the door
    to that person.

    If there were no winds that would work, BUT! :-) :-)

    With uppers the plane flies slowly upwind of the exit point,
    the first jumper blows downwind, and when you see what looks
    like the separation that you want at opening and go, you've
    really only separated the exit points by ... not enough.

    It's just that this conversation has been going on for so
    long among so many people that people get telegraphic and
    leave out background assumptions and sometimes it's hard
    to be sure you're actually both in the same conversation.

    It also depends on who you're talking to. I can say "groundspeed
    is a good technique" to you and we're probably then in the
    same conversation.

    If I'm talking to a new person it's really important that
    I lay out the conditons under which that's a true statement.

    The winds at opening altitude can't be very strong.

    And they need to be going in the same direction as the uppers.

    And the uppers can't be super strong either, especially
    with people pulling at such a variety of heights. A high
    puller could still be up there in the kill zone even 60
    seconds later.

    It's a complicated situation and everybody including me
    would like a simple answer.

    Skr

  21. > commenting on your theory

    The theory I thought I was writing about is why
    so many people start out thinking you can leave
    exit separation based on how far the person in
    front of you has fallen behind the plane.

    It seems intuitive because that's how the world
    works down here on the ground where we use the
    ground as a common, rigid frame of reference.

    And then on through a number of reasons why that
    doesn't work with upper winds.

    The point was to help new jumpers stretch their
    intuitions to feel comfortable with the more complicated
    situation where the ground, the layer at opening
    altitude, all the layers on up to the exit layer,
    and the plane, are all moving relative to each other.

    Two jumpers in different layers of air may be falling
    straight down relative to their local patch of air,
    but the higher layer is moving relative to the lower
    one, so they are not staying the same distance apart
    like they would on the ground.

    They are not staying the same distance apart like
    they would if you had two planes, one following the
    other, and a jumper leaving each plane simultaneously.

    In that case the jumpers are in the same layer at the
    same time and the separation stays constant.

    But in the skydiving case the jumpers are separated
    in time as well as space.

    So that to do the initial, intuitive thing of leaving
    separation by looking at the jumper ahead of you, you
    have to leave the separation at opening altitude plus
    enough to account for the moving layers effect.

    The jumper in the door sees a distance that is roughly
    airspeed * exit interval, on the way down the moving
    layers effect subtracts enough that they end up with
    roughly groundspeed * exit interval. And each jumper
    after that sees the same thing.

    Someone standing on the ground would see distance between
    exit and opening points as the same but the jumper in the
    door sees something different.

    This is where the intuition needs stretching.

    The jumper in the door is measuring the exit separation
    in one frame of reference, and then opening separation in
    a different frame of reference, and the frames are moving
    relative to each other.

    And then the theory goes from there to why it's hard
    to do things that way and that's why people often
    start out with an educated guess for the first load
    and then adjust.

    Unless a GPS is present.

    With that you have the possibility, under certain
    conditions, of estimating exit interval using groundspeed.

    So the theory is about how our initial, ground based
    intuition leads us astray, and how to learn to think
    so that our intuition gives us good answers in the
    upper winds situation.

    I can't connect the rest of your objection to what I
    thought I was talking about.

    I first heard of the 45 degree rule long ago at Quincy
    from John Mathews. For about an hour I walked around
    feeling great relief that we finally had a simple answer
    to the endless exit separation question.

    Then suddenly it was like "Hey! Wait a minute! That's
    the classic airspeed approach! Shit! We have to keep
    on thinking!"

    I don't get around much anymore, just the local dropzone
    at Snohomhish, because I'm kind of fading into other...
    into otherness I guess.

    I didn't see Brian's stuff, but if he's having to explain
    that the 45 degree idea doesn't work with uppers that
    tells me that we experienced jumpers aren't getting the
    word out very well.

    And you're right about the King Air :-) :-)

    Skr

  22. Oh, Hi Walt,

    I see it lost some formatting, I should have enclosed
    it in a couple "pre" tags.

    If you're standing on the opening layer the exit and
    opening points look to be the same distance apart.

    If your standing in the door leaving separation by
    looking at the distance from you to where the first
    jumper got out, the distance to the red molecule,
    then you're measuring that distance in the upper
    layer but measuring distance between opening points
    down in the opening layer, which is a different
    coordinate system.

    I'll see if I can say it in another way when I get back.

    Skr

  23. I remember how confusing the airspeed/groundspeed
    debate on rec.skydiving was, and I remember the aha
    moment when I saw billvon formulating it as differently
    moving layers of air and realized that my confusion came
    from unconsciously applying my ground based, common, solid
    frame of reference intuition to the moving layers situation.

    I think by the way this question keeps coming up
    that we, experienced jumpers, DZO's, and USPA, are
    not doing very well at explaining this to new jumpers.

    A few days ago I added a bit to the second paragraph
    of an email I had sent to a young friend of mine and
    sent it off to the Safety and Training committee.

    So if Winsor comes across this and doesn't grumble too
    loudly, then I'll consider it safe for home use :-) :-)




    Why Groundspeed? Sun 2012-4-1
    ---------------- ------------

    With typical winds, stronger on top, pretty much the same
    direction and gradually decreasing on the way down, a group
    in a higher, faster moving layer of air will spend the whole
    freefall moving closer to a group in a lower, slower moving
    layer.

    Bill Von Novak is the first person I saw explain the
    situation in those words, and this is something I wrote to
    a young friend of mine on stretching her intuition to feel
    comfortable with this.

    Mockup Intuition to Layers of Air Intuition
    -------------------------------------------

    The name of the game here is to learn how to think so that
    what physically happens with upper winds appears natural.

    Once we have that, once our intuition has expanded, the
    various approaches to leaving exit separation will be easier
    to understand.

    Specifically I'm talking about going from the intuition for
    leaving exit separation at the mockup, with the ground as a
    solid and common frame of reference, to the intuition for
    leaving exit separation on jumprun, where different groups
    will be in different layers of air which are moving relative
    to each other.

    At the mockup, if the first group gets out and walks a
    certain distance away, and then stops, and then we step out,
    and then we all just stand there, falling straight down, we
    will still be the same distance apart 60 seconds later.

    That's how life on the ground works, and we have a lifetime
    of experience and deeply ingrained habit thinking that way.

    If there were no winds we could do the same thing on jumprun.

    When the first group has fallen far enough behind the plane,
    we can jump out, and that initial separation will still be
    there down at opening altitude.

    But with uppers we have to teach ourselves to automatically
    see something new, and that is that during the freefall we
    will be in a higher layer of wind than the group in front of
    us, and our layer will be moving faster than their layer.

    The initial separation at exit will be there, but we will
    spend the whole freefall gradually moving closer to them.

    In order to have the separation at the bottom for opening,
    we have to start with that separation plus enough more to
    account for the relative motion of our two different layers
    of air.

    Once that new way of thinking feels natural the various
    approaches to leaving more time between exits for upper
    winds will be easier to understand.

    Practical Difficulties
    ----------------------

    At this point we hit the first set of practical difficulties.

    The obvious, intuitive way of leaving separation, looking
    out the door at the group ahead of us, and leaving enough
    room for the desired separation at opening plus enough for
    the different layers effect, doesn't work because

    - We don't know the speeds of the different layers

    - We can't accurately judge the horizontal separation from
    a group that could be thousands of feet below us at exit
    if the uppers are strong

    - Training - We can't do the large amount of training
    required for every new jumper even if we did know the
    speed of the layers and could judge the distances.

    That's why we turn to the more indirect method of time
    between exits.

    But even here there are practical difficulties

    - Trying to state a procedure that would work for
    combinations of all different sizes of groups is too
    complicated

    - And for really strong uppers the very concept of exit
    separation becomes meaningless because the first group
    could be practically at opening altitude before we get
    enough horizontal separation. (I'm thinking here of a
    King-Air load where the GPS showed a groundspeed of 12
    knots.)

    So the time between exits approach only works for smaller
    numbers and light to medium uppers. Everything else is case
    by case.

    More Intuition
    --------------

    The final intuitive part to become comfortable with is that
    people standing

    - in the door
    - on the layer of air at exit altitude
    - on the layer of air at opening altitude
    - on the ground

    are all looking at the same situation, and all seeing
    something different because of their relative motion.

    The discomfort comes from our lifetime habit of
    automatically applying our ground based, mockup intuition
    where everything happens in a common, solid frame of
    reference, to this new situation with lots of moving parts.

    The comfort will come from practicing, and getting used to
    seeing the situation with all its moving parts, from each
    point of view.

    First fly over and sit down on an air molecule in the
    jumprun layer and watch the plane come toward you.

    When the plane is even with you and the first jumper goes,
    reach down and color that molecule bright red.

    Now watch, the plane flies away at the airspeed of the
    plane, the first jumper starts to move away from you as she
    falls through progressively slower layers of air, and then
    the second jumper goes.

    The second jumper also starts moving away from you, but not
    as fast as the jumper in the lower and slower layer. They
    are actually getting closer together, but it's hard to see
    that because they are getting too far away.

    --

    Now fly down to the opening layer and replay that last jump.

    When the first jumper goes, mark that bit of sky, and a
    molecule directly under it in the opening layer, as "exit
    point", and do the same when the second jumper goes.

    When they open, mark the corresponding molecules in the
    opening layer as "opening points".

    Now notice a crucial fact:

    The trajectory of the second jumper is exactly the same
    as the trajectory of the first jumper, just displaced up
    wind by the distance between exit points.

    The distance between opening points is exactly the same
    as the distance between exit points.

    We can separate opening points by separating exit points.

    When there are uppers, the distance the plane must fly
    through the air in the exit layer is from the red molecule,
    which has moved some distance down wind, to the second exit
    point.

    That's airspeed, and that's the distance someone looking out
    the door at the first jumper would have to leave to account
    for the moving layers effect.

    But for separation at opening, the meaningful speed, the
    speed we can use to separate exit points, is the speed we
    see from the opening layer. It's airspeed minus the speed of
    the exit layer.

    It's slower than the airspeed, that's why it takes more time
    to go from exit point to exit point on windy days.

    Feeling at ease with all these view points and moving parts
    takes practice because our old, ground based habits are
    deeply ingrained, and they tend to take over in the stress
    and excitement of jumprun and exit.

    If you practice a little on the ride up, you will get used to
    it all and it will start to feel normal.

    More Practical Difficulties
    ---------------------------

    If we could see the exit points in the opening layer we
    could just look down and jump out as we pass over them.

    But we can't, plus the opening layer keeps moving relative
    to the dropzone, which is where we want to land, so we would
    have to have a staff member up there dragging them back into
    place before each load.

    We could use the aviation winds aloft forecast to calculate
    the speed of the plane relative to the opening layer, but
    that forecast is only done every 6 hours and local
    conditions can vary. The military does this but they have a
    larger budget for special equipment than most dropzones.

    So probably the most common separation technique is that on
    the first load, jumpers make a guess based on what's usually
    needed for the current conditions, and then make adjustments
    from there.

    With the advent of GPS we have another possibility because
    we can know the groundspeed of the plane on jumprun.

    If the uppers are in the same direction all the way down,
    and not too strong at opening altitude, so that the
    meaningful speed of the plane relative to the opening layer
    is close to the groundspeed, then using groundspeed to
    calculate time between exits is a good estimate.

    And it has the advantage of being accurate at the time of
    the jump.

    That's how "groundspeed" gets into these exit separation
    discussions.

    Conclusion
    ----------

    The best situation is where the experienced jumpers talk
    about how much time to leave between exits at the loading
    area, and they know how much because the dropzone posts the
    current groundspeed by the chart of Time Between Exits at
    the manifest or the loading area.

    From there it goes downhill to denial of the very concept,
    just leave 5 seconds and go, with the tandem masters and
    cameras screaming "Go! Go! Go!", and we are saved from more
    disasters by Bryan Burke's Big Sky Theory.

    This email was about intuition and conceptual framework.
    My last efforts to talk about concrete details are here:

    http://indra.net/~bdaniels/ftw/sg_skr_coach_weekend.html

    http://indra.net/~bdaniels/ftw/sg_skr_dealing_1_uppers.html
    http://indra.net/~bdaniels/ftw/sg_skr_dealing_2_tables.html

    If you're feeling hard core you can skip over the arithmetic
    and scan some of the words for more ideas :-) :-)

    Down at the bottom of

    http://indra.net/~bdaniels/ftw/index.html

    are some links to some of Bryan Burke's and Bill Von Novak's
    early writing. Both guys are very good thinkers about all
    kinds of stuff (Google).

    And finally, the link to John Kallend's Simulation Program
    http://mypages.iit.edu/~kallend/skydive/ still works and
    it's helpful in visualizing all these moving parts. He's
    also a good thinker.


    So all this is pretty confusing when you first run into it,
    but I think that if you can get your intuition used to the
    moving layers you can find your way through.

    Skr