Just a reminder

[brenthutch 383]

Last year I predicted that Tesla would go bankrupt within five years.  Looks like I may have been too generous.

[richravizza 25]

22 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

Last year I predicted that Tesla would go bankrupt within five years.  Looks like I may have been too generous.

Fun how certain perspectives in history can repeat itself.Americas dependents on foreign oil to  American dependents on REE from CHINA!!

LOL Your not actually shorting it, are you?

[brenthutch 383]

No, I am into real estate now.  My years of high risk, high reward are behind me now. I have a family to consider.

[richravizza 25]

29 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

No, I am into real estate now.  My years of high risk, high reward are behind me now. I have a family to consider.

I'll keep an eye on option pricing and PM you on any big volume.

5 year return 0%,down 50% from its high,damn it is a stinker.

$188 is the bottom,if it breaks below that for more than three trading days, LOOK OUT BELOW.

  "Trade Wars" and Tariffs could be the black swan.

 

 

[brenthutch 383]

9 hours ago, richravizza said:

 

  "Trade Wars" and Tariffs could be the black swan.

 

 

No black swan needed.  Poor sales and poor management will be enough.

[turtlespeed 212]

1 hour ago, brenthutch said:

No black swan needed.  Poor sales and poor management will be enough.

If he didn't care so much about making a profit, then everyone would be able to afford them - 

Tesla and Elon must be no better than Masanto or Big Pharm!

<That's sarcasm for those that take themselves too seriously>

Edited May 22, 2019 by turtlespeed
too

[brenthutch 383]

Wow!  Crickets from the Muskophiles.

[turtlespeed 212]

43 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

Wow!  Crickets from the Muskophiles.

You can't really expect them to address their own shortcomings.

You won't get them to admit they were wrong either.

[brenthutch 383]

38 minutes ago, turtlespeed said:

You can't really expect them to address their own shortcomings.

You won't get them to admit they were wrong either.

I can only hope that a steady diet of reality can set their minds straight.  Just like the AGW thing.  

[turtlespeed 212]

33 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

I can only hope that a steady diet of reality can set their minds straight.  Just like the AGW thing.  

Those two things are not the same.

 

You sound like them.

[brenthutch 383]

8 minutes ago, turtlespeed said:

Those two things are not the same.

 

You sound like them.

No they are exactly the same.  

[SkyDekker 1,121]

17 hours ago, brenthutch said:

Wow!  Crickets from the Muskophiles.

You want input on speculation? I'll bet you Tesla does not go bankrupt this year....name your price.

[brenthutch 383]

I predicted five years.  Do you still want to bet?

[SkyDekker 1,121]

2 hours ago, brenthutch said:

I predicted five years.  Do you still want to bet?

Sorry, I thought you were posting how it was going to happen earlier and then commenting how there were crickets.

So if you don't want to commit to an earlier date, what was the point of the post?

[kallend 1,623]

On 5/21/2019 at 9:07 PM, brenthutch said:

No, I am into real estate now.  My years of high risk, high reward are behind me now. I have a family to consider.

Real estate - really?  And from the tone of your posts I thought you were at least a Nobel laureate in physics and chemistry with a Fields medal for good measure.

Edited May 23, 2019 by kallend

[brenthutch 383]

1 hour ago, SkyDekker said:

Sorry, I thought you were posting how it was going to happen earlier and then commenting how there were crickets.

So if you don't want to commit to an earlier date, what was the point of the post?

It looks like it will be closer to one year than five years.  Once the back ordered model 3s were delivered, demand dried up.  Model S is long in the tooth and sales are in the hundreds not thousands.  

[brenthutch 383]

3 hours ago, kallend said:

Real estate - really?  And from the tone of your posts I thought you were at least a Nobel laureate in physics and chemistry with a Fields medal for good measure.

I OWN real estate I don’t sell it and I run a small DZ.  Not bad for a 55 year old retired bank officer and Army Ranger.  As far as credentials are concerned my MBA will have to suffice.  

I have to say, I am flattered you consider the content of my posts equal to a Noble laureate in physics.  I will endeavor to maintain your admiration.

Edited May 24, 2019 by brenthutch

[SkyDekker 1,121]

12 minutes ago, brenthutch said:

It looks like it will be closer to one year than five years.  Once the back ordered model 3s were delivered, demand dried up.  Model S is long in the tooth and sales are in the hundreds not thousands.  

If last year you made the 5 year prediction and now you are saying it will be closer to a 1 year, then December 31, 2019 shouldn't be a problem. It would be more than a year, so I am even giving you a buffer. 

So, since you were so pedantic about "crickets" lets put $5,000 on the line.

[brenthutch 383]

36 minutes ago, SkyDekker said:

If last year you made the 5 year prediction and now you are saying it will be closer to a 1 year, then December 31, 2019 shouldn't be a problem. It would be more than a year, so I am even giving you a buffer. 

So, since you were so pedantic about "crickets" lets put $5,000 on the line.

I haven’t heard “wanna make a bet” since grade school.  Also you may want to crack open a dictionary before using words like pedantic.  You also may want to work on your calendar and maths skills as well. (One year ago is May 2018 and “closer than one year than five years”) can be greater than one year.

[turtlespeed 212]

1 hour ago, SkyDekker said:

If last year you made the 5 year prediction and now you are saying it will be closer to a 1 year, then December 31, 2019 shouldn't be a problem. It would be more than a year, so I am even giving you a buffer. 

So, since you were so pedantic about "crickets" lets put $5,000 on the line.

I was under the impression that international betting was illegal.

 

[richravizza 25]

Musk wont go bankrupt.Elon will be just fine, LOL

Mom and Pop shareholders not so good.

His following are too emotionally invested into their ideology, and won't allow it.They are willing to give up their children literally,for the cause.  

Tesla can bleed billions from profitable SpaceX business segments for years. A modern day Fisker,deeper pockets.

 

[SethInMI 145]

12 hours ago, brenthutch said:

It looks like it will be closer to one year than five years.

The thing with Tesla is people have been predicting its imminent demise since it started. The amount of Shorts that have lost money betting against Tesla is legendary, so yet another prediction against them isn't really "news".

I always assumed Tesla wouldn't make it long term, but whatever happens, I stand in awe of what Elon has already accomplished. 

[brenthutch 383]

No doubt, his story is incredible.

[turtlespeed 212]

12 hours ago, richravizza said:

Musk wont go bankrupt.Elon will be just fine, LOL

Mom and Pop shareholders not so good.

His following are too emotionally invested into their ideology, and won't allow it.They are willing to give up their children literally,for the cause.  

Tesla can bleed billions from profitable SpaceX business segments for years. A modern day Fisker,deeper pockets.

 

Sounds like Enron.

[SkyDekker 1,121]

15 hours ago, brenthutch said:

I haven’t heard “wanna make a bet” since grade school.  Also you may want to crack open a dictionary before using words like pedantic.  You also may want to work on your calendar and maths skills as well. (One year ago is May 2018 and “closer than one year than five years”) can be greater than one year.

So not willing to put your money where your mouth is. Got it.